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LoMo on the move: Patriots running back Laurence Maroney steps up

I love this picture of Laurence Maroney.  Out of all the AP photos we use on this site, this has to be my absolute favorite.  From a pure aesthetics standpoint, it's just a brilliant piece of photography.  But the "emotion" in this shot conveys a whole lot more.  Now I'm not one to walk into the Boston's Museum of Fine Arts, sit in front of a painting, and contemplate the universe for hours on end; I'm more likely to contemplate a 4th and 2 with a beer in hand.  Back to LoMo.

This is a great shot because it conveys a running back who appears to be turning it around.  Laurence is putting his head down, dropping his shoulder, and powering through the hole.  He's making himself "small" while his pistons pound him forward.  And this is just one example of what we've seen lately.

Star-divide

It's as if Fred Taylor has a direct link into Maroney's helmet.  The dancing he does hasn't necessarily gone away, but it has a different "tone" to it, that of patience and waiting for the hole to develop.  If it doesn't develop, he goes elsewhere.  That's downfield vision.  And when it comes time to be tackled, he makes the defender know he tangled with LoMo.  Punishment is the gift for getting in his way.  That's the way a feature back should run.  The term Steamroller comes to mind.

Many of us, myself included, have been critical of Maroney.  He would dance behind the line and ultimately end up tangled in a pile with nowhere to go.  This was incredibly frustrating and garnered Maroney lots of jeers from New England fans desperate for a running game.  It was even more frustrating considering how sporadic the aerial assault has been.  Yes, the yardage numbers are right up there, but TDs are not and RedZone efficiency hasn't cracked .500.  We lost faith, but Belichick didn't.  He was right.

Looking at the NFL stats for running backs, Laurence isn't lighting up the field:  23rd in yardage (735), 145th in yards per carry (3.9).  Football Outsiders ranks him 22nd for DYAR and 24th for DVOA.  The problem with the NFL stats is players with limited touches can rate highly just by having 1 or 2 big carries.  Take, for instance, a player who runs once for 26 yards.  His average YPC is 26 and rockets to the top of the list.  Is that a good indication of his quality?  Methinks not.

So, how can we get a good picture of how Laurence is doing?  I took the liberty of downloading the running back data from NFL.com and carving it up a bit (Excel is a beautiful thing).  My criteria was simple: the players had to be "feature backs", so I removed any back with under 10 attempts per game.  This took out all the stupidity mentioned above (re: 1 carry for 26 yards, therefore an average per carry of 26) and "normalized" around RB's that actually grind it out week after week.  I was worried about total attempts as well (ie: 20 attempts in only 2 games for 200 yards is a YPC of 10), but using average carries per game happened to eliminate most of that.

Some interesting tidbits about Laurence started to emerge: out of 38 backs, he tied at 27th for average yards per carry (3.9 yards), was 12th in first down percentage (22.2%), and tied at 9th in TDs (9 TDs).  Everything else was relatively mediocre, or trailing the pack.  But 2 stats mentioned above are the most telling: 12th in first down percentage (1.8 yards from leader Chris Johnson) and 9th in TDs (6 from leader Maurice Jones-Drew).  This means he can be counted on for a first down conversions and he will score when in the RedZone.  That's what matters to me.

Not burning up the field compared to other backs, but burning it up when he needs to.  Like, when our aerial assault has lost an engine or 2.  Stay healthy LoMo and keep pounding the rock.  Glad to see you've turned the corner.

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He's been great...

…I’ll still feel better with another RB who can pound it out as well (Faulk is more finesse in my eyes).

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 1:11 PM EST reply actions  

That said, and since you said it's on Excel...

…do you mind averaging all the ranks of the stats you handled and post the results? It might show how he ranked overall as a feature back in comparison to others.

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 1:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Sure

Blogger at SBNation's Patriots blog, Pats Pulpit

by MaPatsFan on Dec 23, 2009 2:57 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess we can point to his average...

…but we still need to remember that despite how nice 4.0 sounds, giving someone who gets 3.9 a carry the rock 3 times will STILL give you a first down.

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 8:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Here's what I did...

I took the stats Attempts/Game, Average Yards/Carry, TDs, 1st Down %, 20+ runs and 40+ runs and divided them by the leader in that statistic to rank players down the line (if you lead that stat, you get a 1, if you have half the number, you get .5) and I subtracted their fumbles/game. I’m not at all surprised with the numbers. Some a little higher than I thought, some a little lower. Here’s the top 40 (ie: players with over 10 carries a game).

1 Chris Johnson
TEN

2 Maurice Jones-Drew
JAC

3 Adrian Peterson
MIN

4 Ray Rice
BAL

4 Frank Gore
SF

6 Michael Turner
ATL

7 Thomas Jones
NYJ

8 DeAngelo Williams
CAR

9 Steven Jackson
STL

10 Ryan Grant
GB

11 Ricky Williams
MIA

12 Cedric Benson
CIN

13 Jamaal Charles
KC

14 Rashard Mendenhall
PIT

15 Ronnie Brown
MIA

16 Jonathan Stewart
CAR

17 Marion Barber
DAL

18 Ahmad Bradshaw
NYG

19 Laurence Maroney
NE

20 Pierre Thomas
NO

21 LaDainian Tomlinson
SD

22 Joseph Addai
IND

23 Mike Bell
NO

24 Cadillac Williams
TB

25 Knowshon Moreno
DEN

26 Jerome Harrison
CLE

27 Beanie Wells
ARI

28 Brandon Jacobs
NYG

29 Julius Jones
SEA

30 Fred Jackson
BUF

31 Clinton Portis
WAS

32 LeSean McCoy
PHI

33 Kevin Smith
DET

34 Justin Fargas
OAK

34 Fred Taylor
NE

36 Matt Forte
CHI

37 Marshawn Lynch
BUF

38 Steve Slaton
HOU

39 Jamal Lewis
CLE

40 Leon Washington
NYJ

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 1:26 PM EST reply actions  

Maroney is also one of 3 RBs to...

…average over 13 carries a game, 3.9 a carry, score 9 TDs, get a 1st down on 20+% of carries, and fumble two or fewer times.

His company? Chris Johnson and Maurice Jones-Drew. Not bad company. (To be fair, their stats are MUCH better than LoMo’s)

Eliminate the fumble stipulation and he’s with the above two, Adrian Peterson, Ricky Williams and Michael Turner.

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 1:34 PM EST up reply actions  

to be fair - their teams emphasize the run a TON more

if LOMO had gotten as many carries as they have had, his accumulated stats would look a lot more impressive. The team would probably have won a couple of games they shouldn’t have lost also because our offense wouldn’t have been so damn one-dimensional …. but that’s a separate discussion ….

by mmmmm on Dec 23, 2009 1:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm pretty sure that CJ has 10x the amount of 20+ runs that LoMo has.

But yeah, I see your point. Steven Jackson should be ranked higher, but that’s not his fault.

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

CJ is a freak

his wheels have wheels. Sooooo fassstt!

Fortunately, I do have him on my fantasy football team…

by mmmmm on Dec 23, 2009 4:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Freddie T

Will he play? Or does he get playing time week 17 with the scrubs? HMMM? What would you do? I would sit him one more week or give him 3-5 carries. We need this win week16 and with him bein rusty why not let him rest one more game.

Jack of all trades-Master of None.....

by Yardpenalty.com on Dec 23, 2009 2:47 PM EST reply actions  

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpPRFb-A5rs&feature=player_embedded

check out Randy! or I should say Atlas Randy

Jack of all trades-Master of None.....

by Yardpenalty.com on Dec 23, 2009 2:51 PM EST reply actions  

or u can post the link below the title bar lol

Oh come let's sing Ohio's praise,
And songs to Alma Mater raise,
While our hearts rebounding thrill,
With joy which death alone can still,
Summer's heat or winter's cold,
The seasons pass the years will roll,
Time and change will surely (truly) show,
How firm thy friendship... OHIO!!!

by NinjaZX6R on Dec 23, 2009 7:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Don't rule out the much improved play of the O-Line too

Brady hasn’t been sacked in three games and LoMo has been sprung. Also, the TE’s may not be catching, but they sure are blocking. It’s all to the benefit of the running game.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Dec 23, 2009 8:16 PM EST reply actions  

I think getting Light back has helped...

…as well as Koppen and the fact that Mankins isn’t getting penalties as often.

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 8:35 PM EST up reply actions  

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