LoMo on the move: Patriots running back Laurence Maroney steps up
I love this picture of Laurence Maroney. Out of all the AP photos we use on this site, this has to be my absolute favorite. From a pure aesthetics standpoint, it's just a brilliant piece of photography. But the "emotion" in this shot conveys a whole lot more. Now I'm not one to walk into the Boston's Museum of Fine Arts, sit in front of a painting, and contemplate the universe for hours on end; I'm more likely to contemplate a 4th and 2 with a beer in hand. Back to LoMo.
This is a great shot because it conveys a running back who appears to be turning it around. Laurence is putting his head down, dropping his shoulder, and powering through the hole. He's making himself "small" while his pistons pound him forward. And this is just one example of what we've seen lately.
It's as if Fred Taylor has a direct link into Maroney's helmet. The dancing he does hasn't necessarily gone away, but it has a different "tone" to it, that of patience and waiting for the hole to develop. If it doesn't develop, he goes elsewhere. That's downfield vision. And when it comes time to be tackled, he makes the defender know he tangled with LoMo. Punishment is the gift for getting in his way. That's the way a feature back should run. The term Steamroller comes to mind.
Many of us, myself included, have been critical of Maroney. He would dance behind the line and ultimately end up tangled in a pile with nowhere to go. This was incredibly frustrating and garnered Maroney lots of jeers from New England fans desperate for a running game. It was even more frustrating considering how sporadic the aerial assault has been. Yes, the yardage numbers are right up there, but TDs are not and RedZone efficiency hasn't cracked .500. We lost faith, but Belichick didn't. He was right.
Looking at the NFL stats for running backs, Laurence isn't lighting up the field: 23rd in yardage (735), 145th in yards per carry (3.9). Football Outsiders ranks him 22nd for DYAR and 24th for DVOA. The problem with the NFL stats is players with limited touches can rate highly just by having 1 or 2 big carries. Take, for instance, a player who runs once for 26 yards. His average YPC is 26 and rockets to the top of the list. Is that a good indication of his quality? Methinks not.
So, how can we get a good picture of how Laurence is doing? I took the liberty of downloading the running back data from NFL.com and carving it up a bit (Excel is a beautiful thing). My criteria was simple: the players had to be "feature backs", so I removed any back with under 10 attempts per game. This took out all the stupidity mentioned above (re: 1 carry for 26 yards, therefore an average per carry of 26) and "normalized" around RB's that actually grind it out week after week. I was worried about total attempts as well (ie: 20 attempts in only 2 games for 200 yards is a YPC of 10), but using average carries per game happened to eliminate most of that.
Some interesting tidbits about Laurence started to emerge: out of 38 backs, he tied at 27th for average yards per carry (3.9 yards), was 12th in first down percentage (22.2%), and tied at 9th in TDs (9 TDs). Everything else was relatively mediocre, or trailing the pack. But 2 stats mentioned above are the most telling: 12th in first down percentage (1.8 yards from leader Chris Johnson) and 9th in TDs (6 from leader Maurice Jones-Drew). This means he can be counted on for a first down conversions and he will score when in the RedZone. That's what matters to me.
Not burning up the field compared to other backs, but burning it up when he needs to. Like, when our aerial assault has lost an engine or 2. Stay healthy LoMo and keep pounding the rock. Glad to see you've turned the corner.
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He's been great...
…I’ll still feel better with another RB who can pound it out as well (Faulk is more finesse in my eyes).
Hire OC.
That said, and since you said it's on Excel...
…do you mind averaging all the ranks of the stats you handled and post the results? It might show how he ranked overall as a feature back in comparison to others.
Hire OC.
by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 1:12 PM EST up reply actions
I guess we can point to his average...
…but we still need to remember that despite how nice 4.0 sounds, giving someone who gets 3.9 a carry the rock 3 times will STILL give you a first down.
Hire OC.
by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 8:34 PM EST up reply actions
Here's what I did...
I took the stats Attempts/Game, Average Yards/Carry, TDs, 1st Down %, 20+ runs and 40+ runs and divided them by the leader in that statistic to rank players down the line (if you lead that stat, you get a 1, if you have half the number, you get .5) and I subtracted their fumbles/game. I’m not at all surprised with the numbers. Some a little higher than I thought, some a little lower. Here’s the top 40 (ie: players with over 10 carries a game).
1 Chris Johnson
TEN
2 Maurice Jones-Drew
JAC
3 Adrian Peterson
MIN
4 Ray Rice
BAL
4 Frank Gore
SF
6 Michael Turner
ATL
7 Thomas Jones
NYJ
8 DeAngelo Williams
CAR
9 Steven Jackson
STL
10 Ryan Grant
GB
11 Ricky Williams
MIA
12 Cedric Benson
CIN
13 Jamaal Charles
KC
14 Rashard Mendenhall
PIT
15 Ronnie Brown
MIA
16 Jonathan Stewart
CAR
17 Marion Barber
DAL
18 Ahmad Bradshaw
NYG
19 Laurence Maroney
NE
20 Pierre Thomas
NO
21 LaDainian Tomlinson
SD
22 Joseph Addai
IND
23 Mike Bell
NO
24 Cadillac Williams
TB
25 Knowshon Moreno
DEN
26 Jerome Harrison
CLE
27 Beanie Wells
ARI
28 Brandon Jacobs
NYG
29 Julius Jones
SEA
30 Fred Jackson
BUF
31 Clinton Portis
WAS
32 LeSean McCoy
PHI
33 Kevin Smith
DET
34 Justin Fargas
OAK
34 Fred Taylor
NE
36 Matt Forte
CHI
37 Marshawn Lynch
BUF
38 Steve Slaton
HOU
39 Jamal Lewis
CLE
40 Leon Washington
NYJ
Hire OC.
Maroney is also one of 3 RBs to...
…average over 13 carries a game, 3.9 a carry, score 9 TDs, get a 1st down on 20+% of carries, and fumble two or fewer times.
His company? Chris Johnson and Maurice Jones-Drew. Not bad company. (To be fair, their stats are MUCH better than LoMo’s)
Eliminate the fumble stipulation and he’s with the above two, Adrian Peterson, Ricky Williams and Michael Turner.
Hire OC.
by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 1:34 PM EST up reply actions
to be fair - their teams emphasize the run a TON more
if LOMO had gotten as many carries as they have had, his accumulated stats would look a lot more impressive. The team would probably have won a couple of games they shouldn’t have lost also because our offense wouldn’t have been so damn one-dimensional …. but that’s a separate discussion ….
I'm pretty sure that CJ has 10x the amount of 20+ runs that LoMo has.
But yeah, I see your point. Steven Jackson should be ranked higher, but that’s not his fault.
Hire OC.
by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 2:07 PM EST up reply actions
CJ is a freak
his wheels have wheels. Sooooo fassstt!
Fortunately, I do have him on my fantasy football team…
Freddie T
Will he play? Or does he get playing time week 17 with the scrubs? HMMM? What would you do? I would sit him one more week or give him 3-5 carries. We need this win week16 and with him bein rusty why not let him rest one more game.
Jack of all trades-Master of None.....
by Yardpenalty.com on Dec 23, 2009 2:47 PM EST reply actions
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpPRFb-A5rs&feature=player_embedded
check out Randy! or I should say Atlas Randy
Jack of all trades-Master of None.....
by Yardpenalty.com on Dec 23, 2009 2:51 PM EST reply actions
have to ctrl + c and ctrl +V TO SEE
Jack of all trades-Master of None.....
by Yardpenalty.com on Dec 23, 2009 4:09 PM EST up reply actions
or u can post the link below the title bar lol
Oh come let's sing Ohio's praise,
And songs to Alma Mater raise,
While our hearts rebounding thrill,
With joy which death alone can still,
Summer's heat or winter's cold,
The seasons pass the years will roll,
Time and change will surely (truly) show,
How firm thy friendship... OHIO!!!
Yea sorry about that one. Realized it after I posted. Supose I couldve Re-posted it. Oops, my fault.
Jack of all trades-Master of None.....
by Yardpenalty.com on Dec 23, 2009 8:11 PM EST up reply actions
Don't rule out the much improved play of the O-Line too
Brady hasn’t been sacked in three games and LoMo has been sprung. Also, the TE’s may not be catching, but they sure are blocking. It’s all to the benefit of the running game.
Keep the faith!
I think getting Light back has helped...
…as well as Koppen and the fact that Mankins isn’t getting penalties as often.
Hire OC.
by Richard Hill on Dec 23, 2009 8:35 PM EST up reply actions

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