Reflections on the 2009 NFL draft
The draft is in the books, which means it’s time to evaluate what happened. Whether the players are any good is impossible to say until they see the field in the fall. I obviously expect all to be great or at least adequate in our system, but even the Patriots strike out once in a while, so this article will focus more on positions targeted, deals and such.
Money in the bank
Before the draft it was obvious that the Patriots had more dough than they could spend in a normal shopping spree. Some of it had to be spent on moving up in the first round or be pushed into next year, preferably with interest. I was a bit worried when we first traded down, thus getting more picks, and later actually used four second-rounders. Right behind us San Francisco turned their second rounder into Denver’s first-round pick next year. Had Hoodie lost his touch? Was the rest of the league conspiring against the Patriots to let them choke on their abundance of picks? Or did Belichick really think the roster was so barren, that he needed to exercise all those picks?
Luckily he quickly displayed his usual touch in the third round and acquired two second-round picks next year. Come next April, Carolina will again moan their lack of a first-rounder and we will again be thrilled with our flexibility and chances to add the players we want. This brings me to the next point:
The Pats got their targeted players
That’s right. I believe the Patriots got exactly who they wanted with at least their first three picks. Of course, they may have hoped a player like Andre Smith slided, and I can’t imagine they wouldn’t have loved to grab Curry, but given the starting position at #23 that was never realistic. So, moving back from the “who do we dream of” to the “who do we want” board, Belichick got the players he desired. Chung was there at #34 and the Patriots effectively moved up / down the board to the early second round for Brace and Butler. However, this implies that…
No OLB was worth the trouble
Everybody and their grandmothers believed the Patriots had no greater need than OLB and speculated whether English, Matthews, Sintim or somebody else was the answer. Apparently none of them was. This will leave me worried about the pass rush until I see it working on the field, but obviously you can’t draft to soothe the feelings of fans in April, since they will come for your head in November anyway, if it doesn’t work out. Still, if anybody has compromising pictures of Jason Taylor, now is the time to persuade him to join the Patriots as a situational pass rusher.
Prepared for FA 2010
As we discussed before the draft a number of players will be free agents next year. I think this played some role in the draft. Moving picks to next year will in itself provide some insurance, and especially the O-line picks seem destined to provide depth this year and be replacements at the guard and RT positions next year if necessary. On the D-line Brace adds both depth and insurance for Wilfork. I don’t think this means Wilfork will definitely be gone, but it is probably an attempt to keep the cost of resigning him down. IMO it should still be a high priority. He has become a top performer, he is relatively young, and we KNOW he is good. Brace MIGHT be good
Lots of picks
Even with next years picks a LOT of players (12) became Patriots during the weekend. It is obvious that not all of them will make the active roster. Nobody wants to throw away goods for nothing, so Belichick made a couple of moves to limit the problem.
First, he drafted a long snapper. Most years you don’t want to spend a draft pick at that position, but with Paxton gone this roster spot is somewhat open. We acquired Hodel from Arizona, but he could turn out to be just an insurance policy. Other teams have QB-competitions in camp, but only the Patriots will have a LS-competition! (As long as it doesn’t turn into a LS-controversy, I’m all for it…) Seriously, I believe it is good business to draft specialists, when you need one. When your fifth-round pick will likely be training camp fodder anyway, why not have a free choice at kicker, punter or long snapper?
Secondly the Patriots drafted Brandon Tate, WR in the third round. Tate is coming of a major knee surgery, which makes him a high risk / high reward player, but is also means he can possibly be stashed at the PUP-list this year and not count against the roster limit. Still the training camp competition will be fierce.
Trades galore
Finally, it is worth noting that the Patriots traded like crazy. Of the 12 players picked only two (Sebastian Vollmer, #58 and Darryll Richard, #234) were selected in an original Patriots draft slot. The rest were either picked in compensatory selections or in slots acquired through trades.
One trade stood out, because it moved Ellis Hobbs to the Eagles for a pair of fifth round picks. I’m a bit ambivalent about this move, because I always liked Hobbs and it seems risky moving the best player in a unit that didn’t exactly shine last year. That is probably the very reason, though, since the Patriots have added numerous free agents, still have two promising rookies from last year and have added two high-round draft choices in Butler and Chung to the defensive backfield. It was foreseeable that one of them would have to be cut before the season, so Belichick decided to strike when he could get something in return.
In the end
This looks like a productive draft for the Patriots. Not all needs were covered, and I don’t think the picks will be instant impact players. The 2009 season will be determined by the players who were already on the roster before April 25th, but that is not a bad thing. Usually teams start rookies because they have serious issues, not because they don’t think they could use a little seasoning. At least the Patriots got what they set their eyes on and handled the draft process great.
The views expressed in these FanPosts are not necessarily those of the writers or SBNation.
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Comments
Good work
This is a good piece of analysis. I’m still sorting out my thoughts about the draft but you’ve noted a lot of what i’ve been thinking. For the Patriots this was a pretty good draft, it seems, since they really didn’t have a glaring need and had lots of flexibility. You make good points here and help to clarify my own thinking as it is taking shape.
by ProfessorTodd on Apr 27, 2009 10:05 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks
I mainly come here to read other people’s views and discuss my opinions on the Patriots. Glad you liked my two cents.
(Of course, the rookies will have to play, before we can really evaluate the draft. Good moving on the board is only so valuable if you select stiffs!)
by hythlodaeus on Apr 27, 2009 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
NICE
you cleared up someof the questions i had about how many picks we got for next year. I dont know to much about the makenzie kid though, could he be a starter for the pats, with some seasoning?
by dw0587 on Apr 27, 2009 12:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Frankly
I have no idea about McKenzie, but he is projected as an ILB, so he could be a Bruschi-replacement down the road.
by hythlodaeus on Apr 27, 2009 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
speaking on behalf on mckenzie’s everywhere, i can vouch that he’s a solid addition
by Pie McKenzie on Apr 29, 2009 7:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well done!
I’ve modified the title slightly to be more “search engine friendly” and submitted for distribution.
Blogger at SBNation's Patriots blog, Pats Pulpit
by MaPatsFan on Apr 27, 2009 12:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Not all needs were covered
But now it’s on to the draft of the undrafteds so to speak, plus the remaining free agents out there waiting out the Draft to see where they’ll fit in. Still lots left unsettled.
Keep the faith!
by Marima on Apr 27, 2009 12:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
kiper's top 100
Expanding on something I read on Boston Globe’s website, a fan comment, according to Mel Kiper’s top 100 players, we drafted six of them without having to use a 1st round pick and pay that money. How’s that for value? Granted Kiper is one opinion, but still six out of 100 without having to use a first round pick, great job by the entire front office!
by StudioCityPat on Apr 27, 2009 4:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Solid, but not flashy
Yes, Kiper is just one person, but I would guess most experts think the Patriots got a number of good prospects. Not picking in the first round, however, means no flashy player that fans immediately recognizes.
by hythlodaeus on Apr 28, 2009 2:52 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
blech!
that’s what this draft feels like. The Chung pick is probably the worst of the bunch. Even if the Pats know something about him that nobody else does, the could have landed him much lower than the 34th pick. The guy simply can not cover. In-the-box safeties are a dying breed because nfl offenses are too versatile and smart not to exploit a one-dimensional player. Thsi guy is another adam archuletta or roy williams lite. The other 3 2nd rd picks were just ok. Normally, I’d think you just have to trust belichick, but after chad jackson, mulroney, and the twin disasters of wheatley and wilhite last year, i dont know.
by tha assman on Apr 27, 2009 4:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
selective memory is fun.
Defensive rookie of the year? And don’t give up on wheatly and wilhite too quickly. Also expect Shawn Crable who was hurt all of last year to make more of an impact.
by beantownboy171 on Apr 27, 2009 5:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
calm down
hey assman, calm down. Perhaps Chung was a little high but remember Logan Mankins at 32? he’s a pro-bowler now. Every expert has praised this years draft class for the patriots. We did what we had to do and secured our future by getting two second round picks next year. I think we fans cannot begin to understand the evaluation that goes on by belicheck and his staff. Belicheck has earned the right for us fans to trust the moves that he makes year in and year out. BTW, Wilhite and Wheatley were doing very well last year before some injuries crept up. now with Bodden, Springs, and Butler coming in our secondary looks even better! Assman, our team looks incredible and we have belicheck and the front office to thank for that. be happy.
by StudioCityPat on Apr 27, 2009 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Chung
The guy has yet to play a single down in the NFL. I wouldn’t go tagging him “Adam Archuletta or Roy Williams lite” just yet.
As for “twin disasters” Wheatley and Wilhite, one of them was injured the minute he had won over the starting job and the other was coming along very well as the season was coming to an end. Out of the bunch you mentioned, only Chad Jackson has been a bust. Maroney has been productive despite the injuries, and with a full year to rehab that shoulder, I expect him to come back strong – the end of 2007 comes to mind.
by NESilver on Apr 27, 2009 11:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Chung as ILB/Safety hybrid
You’ve got a Pats lineup short on ILBs. A Pats team with a very recent history of Safety-to-ILB conversions. You’ve got a second-round draft pick on a guy who is supposed to be an in-the-box Safety (albeit, a heavy-hitting and intelligent one). This isn’t necessarily a bad pick, given those variables. Just a little Belichick creativity in the making?
by Comedic.Sans on May 18, 2009 7:12 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Versatility
Chung sounds like he could be a very versatile player. I can’t wait to see him on the field.
Blogger at SBNation's Patriots blog, Pats Pulpit
by MaPatsFan on May 18, 2009 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Too early to tell
I think it is just too early to tell about the new draft class. We obviously don’t want a Roy Williams patroling the backfield, but we will just have to see if the staff can give Chung the right skills.
I agree, however, that we could use a great draft. Last year’s crop is coming along nicely, but the classes of 2006 and 2007 have not added many young playmakers.
by hythlodaeus on Apr 28, 2009 2:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Coaches
Coaches decline just like any other normal person. It maybe an early call on this butBelichek looks like a top five coach now and not the absolute best. You are also drafting without Pioli’s expertise now.
It will be interesting to see ow quickly Brady shakes off the rust that has inevitably accumulated.
I think it takes only the preseason games but possibly the first or second regular season game a well. See you in the playoffs. You heard it from me first.
by steelerstyle on Apr 30, 2009 9:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Decline - don't think so
I don’t think Belichick is in decline – we are only one year removed from a 18-1 season – but obviously you never know until it has happened. It should also be noted, that the Patriots have never relied as heavily on the draft as the Steelers. If Welker and Moss are added to the 2007 draft – they were obtained for second and fourth round picks – it looks a lot better.
But I agree: We’ll see you in the playoffs. How about this: We take down the Ravens and you smack the Dolphins around a bit?
by hythlodaeus on May 1, 2009 2:25 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ratbirds
We beat them threetimes last year but by such a small margin I consider those games a toss up. Looks like there first rounder makes an upgrade this year. Yeah they worry me.
I have to say they are a class team. No moaning about referee decisions. Just said they didn’t play well enough. mature professional manlike
by steelerstyle on May 1, 2009 7:02 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rely on draft
You did bring in a lot of veteran secondary last year also. How Well did that turn out?
Sixburgh relies heavily on the draft. Thats true. It is the Steeler Style.
by steelerstyle on May 1, 2009 7:10 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
2008 FA acquisitions were a bust for the most part
No doubt. If they didn’t have questionable skills (Deltha O’Neal) they were injured (Tank Williams, LaMont Jordan). No use whining, though – that’s football.
Blogger at SBNation's Patriots blog, Pats Pulpit
by MaPatsFan on May 1, 2009 8:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
way too early to judge
Chung, it will be interesting to see what Bill does with him…, he obviously has some scheme in mind.
Bill addressed the unspoken gorilla in the room concerning oline depth, grabbed some secondary to add to springs and bodden, and we have 3 2nd round picks for next year.
Tate may have a spotty personal record but he was one of the best punt returners in the draft. Bill also selected an excellent long snapper after ours defected with McDaniels.
Also we don’t need to baby Wilfork as much since we have options at NT now.
Just thank God you’re not a Raider fan or Cowboy fan.
"These players, a lot of other people didn't believe in them, but they believe in themselves. And that is all that matters."- Bill Belichick
by Mainiac on Apr 28, 2009 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
kind of ironic
that “assman” thinks the draft stinks lol
by ncfinfan on Apr 27, 2009 8:41 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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