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Preview: Patriots @ Texans

As I've said before, I'm not a big fan of resting starters (unless we have a lead, that is) even when the near term goal has been reached.  The mess that Colts management caused by pulling starters in their matchup against the Jets is unforgiveable and many Colts fans have protested loud and clear.  From this Patriots fan's perspective, they opened the door for Jabba the Hut and his merry band of green men to possibly make the playoffs, undeserved of course.  But from a different viewpoint, I think it's dangerous to the rhythm of the team.  Do I believe it can be necessary?  Yeah sure.  Vince Wilfork has been battling an injury for a few weeks now and another week's rest may do him some good.  Of course, one could argue a few reps could help the big man get his game face on.  My head hurts.

But resting Tom Brady and his receivers for an entire game is, arguably, not a good idea.  Again, rhythm and timing are 2 things I think vitally important to a passer and his receivers.  Look how long it took Tom Brady to get back into game shape with is receivers.  The season's pressers were full of little hints that Wonderboy and his and of receivers were not in sync.

 

That being said, it is very likely we will see some people benched.  Only Hoodie knows.  But what I DO think is that Belichick and his coaching staff are very conscious of the how game ready their players need to be for a playoff run.  I also don't think you'll see Bill Belichick get railroaded by Kraft or Nick Caserio in the same way the Colts' Bill Polian most likely slapped around Jim Caldwell.  No sir.

There is a very remote chance the Texans could make the playoffs and winning is most always one of the best ways to help your chances.  That says to me that Houston will be playing its collective butts off.  I do not see an opponent that will phone this one in.  They will play as hard as they can for as long as they can and it's my opinion they will use their starters to do it.

In terms of stats, Houston is 5th in total offense and 2nd in passing yardage per game and total yardage in the air.  Quarterback Matt Schaub has logged an impressive 4,467 aerial yards coupled with 27 touchdowns.  Of course, it doesn't hurt to have the league's leading receiver as your target.  Andre Johnson, with 1,504 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 15.8 yard average per reception is a freak of nature.  Honestly, with our playoff spot in the bag I'll get to enjoy watching a great football player like Andre.  Ranked 31st in rushing yards per game, Houston struggles on the ground.  Given the Schaub/Johnson connection, I would be surprised to see them pound the rock that often.

On the Patriots side, look to see Wes Welker rested by Belichick.  Julian Edelman needs the reps and Wes needs to heal; he's gotten banged up collecting league leading stats, so it's time to give him a break.  I'd also like to see more action against Houston's 13th ranked rushing defense.  Sammy Morris can be injury prone, so I'd rather see him rested but Laurence Maroney could use more reps as well as the returning Fred Taylor.  Let's get BenJarvus Green-Ellis in there, too.

If anything, I want to see a good football game and that means one with both teams battling it out.  Given their lock in the playoffs, I do agree that the Patriots should rest some key starters.  Only (game)time will tell who those starters will be.

Comment 31 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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jabba the hut lmao...i'll rec this just for that comment

Non Sibi Sed Patriae.
Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum!

I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

by NinjaZX6R on Jan 1, 2010 2:01 PM EST reply actions  

didn't belichek say that all starters will start?

but maybe welker will have one or two series, then i want him out. i don’t want bruised ribs or an injured back for the most needed guy on the team(maybe more needed than brady).

by patriotguy on Jan 1, 2010 3:37 PM EST reply actions  

The Patriots don't have that much to gain by beating the Texans

Except for the sake of finishing 11 and 5 which nails down the third seed. Then we probably get Baltimore in here for a rematch. Then we have to go to San Diego and very likely Indianapolis in a route that is the same as the 2006 Patriots.

The Patriots defensive performance will dictate how far this team gets in the post season. Whatever happens, the Patriots will need to address the defense and the offensive line after the season.

So what will Bill Belichick’s strategy be on Sunday?

Hello, Hello! I don't know why you say good-bye, I say Hello!

by The Q on Jan 1, 2010 4:46 PM EST reply actions  

I'm NOT a fan of the Patriots traveling to San Diego

just like the 2006 Patriots. So close, but for the majority of the team coming down with the flu from the plane trip they were all gassed by the second half against Indy. Not a scenario I’d like to repeat.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Jan 1, 2010 7:49 PM EST up reply actions  

They only have a chance to avoid San Diego by claiming the 4th seed.

Oh, if a man tried to take his time on earth, and prove before he died
What one man's life could be worth--oh, I wonder what would happen to this world.

by LegendaryTadpole on Jan 2, 2010 1:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Popular consenus says Welker should be limited

And I’m a part of that consensus. Matter of fact, I wouldn’t mind if he doesn’t play altogether on Sunday. Give the rook some time and prepare Welker for the bigger games.

Beer is good! And stuff!

by R_Adragna on Jan 1, 2010 5:59 PM EST reply actions  

+1

I don’t want our confidence to be damaged from poor play followed by a sitting. Whatever it takes to avoid this situation.

Jack of all trades-Master of None.....

by Yardpenalty.com on Jan 2, 2010 1:17 AM EST up reply actions  

I'm kinda hoping for 4th seed.

Why?

1) I feel the 5th seed will be backing into the playoffs (as the Jets, Broncos or Ravens) and I like our chances against all of them.

2) I’d rather face the Colts than the Bolts

3) Gives another team the chance to upset the Chargers (barring an upset of the Bengals)

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Jan 2, 2010 7:31 AM EST reply actions  

In other news...

…Brandon Marshall is probably done in Denver. I hope we get him. Productive, disgruntled player in need of a mentality change. Belichick Special!

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Jan 2, 2010 7:34 AM EST reply actions  

so no more chest bumps or hugs anymore between TO lite and McD>

Non Sibi Sed Patriae.
Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum!

I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

by NinjaZX6R on Jan 2, 2010 3:18 PM EST up reply actions  

And maybe a McD-to-Belichick special deal?

While I like the idea of a Marshall-Welker-Moss WR trio in principle, that many strong personalities on the field at once could cause problems. Welker and Moss seem to be a great unit because they really don’t impinge on each other – they both know their roles, and they are complimentary, not competitive. I’m not sure what Moss would think if Marshall started campaigning for more long looks, or vice versa.

If the Pats were looking for a productive, disgruntled player in need of a mentality change, I’d probably want Chad Ochocinco. He says the right things about Brady, Hoodie and Moss, which suggests he’d be productive under the NE umbrella. I’m not sure Marshall would be enough of a team player (“I don’t want to play, I have a boo-boo on my knee, even though the doctors can’t find it”). Ochocinco’s the opposite – he’s busy taunting the NFL officials by telling people what post-TD celebrations he’ll do, a week in advance. Whatever you think about the posturing, at least he’s planning on making contributions, and very rarely does he say he’ll do a post-TD celebration and not score (Lambeau leap at Green Bay or jumping in the Dawg Pound, anyone?)

Token southern hemisphere guy - 14,688km from Foxboro. That's 9128 miles, for you heathens.

by Comedic.Sans on Jan 2, 2010 6:21 PM EST up reply actions  

we need another WR

i hope BB learns from his FA moves this year and plans to strengthen the offense in 2010

Non Sibi Sed Patriae.
Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum!

I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

by NinjaZX6R on Jan 2, 2010 7:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Also...

…for those of us who are interested in the defense with 1 DL, 4 LBs and 6 DBs, it’s officially called the “Joker Front” defense. It is used mostly on 3rd downs (with greater turnover success on 3 and longs)

Patriots coach Bill Belichick said when running the joker front, every player has the potential to rush and every player has the potential to drop in coverage. “There is some sort of a system to it, but the key is guys can do both things, which it makes it confusing on the quarterback.”

From Here

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Jan 2, 2010 8:35 AM EST reply actions  

love it..and i love the name

Non Sibi Sed Patriae.
Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum!

I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

by NinjaZX6R on Jan 2, 2010 3:18 PM EST up reply actions  

My own prediction:

I feel that this game against a pass-happy offense will be a great test for playoff strategies against the likes of the Colts and Chargers, as well as the entire NFC. I’m expecting us to play with the following look on passing 1st or 2nd downs in the 1st quarter:

DL: Warren – Wilfork – Green
LB: Guyton/Thomas – Mayo – Banta-Cain
DB: McGowan (on TE…wish Daniels was playing), Springs (on #2), Bodden (on AJ), Sanders (on AJ), Meriweather (roaming)

With players like Dustin Keller, Dallas Clark, Antonio Gates and other hopefully on the way in the next couple of weeks, it’s important to get McGowan involved again. Eliminate the outlet player and force the opposing team to go deeper than they wish and force a few mistakes.

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Jan 2, 2010 8:43 AM EST reply actions  

Just spit-balling here,

but how come the default is “start the starters, then sit them?”

The only reason to play them at all is to keep them sharp for the playoffs, right? We’ve got good rhythm and timing down now, seemingly, and the feeling is that in order to keep that timing they need some “live fire” action this week. Regardless of who you sit, some guys are going to play all game anyway, because on a 53-man roster you don’t have two full sides. So why doesn’t anyone ever do it this way:

Let the backups and 2nd teamers play the first three quarters and put your starters back on the field to finish the game.

That gives your #2s a chance to establish their own cadence and take ownership in the tenor and outcome of the game, not just play mop-up. It also gets them in the flow, so when you begin to mix in your starters the subs are up to game pace and less likely to get people hurt through rusty play and cobwebs. The starters will need to keep mentally involved and sharp all game instead of goofing off for three quarters or a half on the sidelines. Finally, they’ll come off the game in battle-heat, with muscle-memory sharp.

Just a thought. Don’t know why an unconventional guy like BB wouldn’t be up for trying it.

As Mr. Sloan always says, there is no "I" in team, but there is an "I" in pie. And there's an "I" in meat pie. Anagram of meat is team... I don't know what he's talking about. --Shaun of the Dead

by JohnHannahRules on Jan 2, 2010 9:41 AM EST reply actions   2 recs

Interesting spin, and unique enough that I like it. Rec'd

My life has been a trivial pursuit. Trivia: where three roads meet.
The more you know, the more you know that you don't know.

by SlotMachinePlayer on Jan 2, 2010 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

But I wouldn't want to pull a Colts

and throw Hoyer in like they did with Painter against a hungry Texans’ team. Not sure that would be best for anyone’s psyche.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Jan 2, 2010 12:12 PM EST up reply actions  

since i live in big ten country

brian hoyer is a better qb than painter.
i have no idea how painter got drafted…he had a horrible senior season.

Non Sibi Sed Patriae.
Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum!

I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

by NinjaZX6R on Jan 2, 2010 3:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Great article by Bill Simmons on that matter...
Take it from a Patriots fan: Going 16-0 is overrated. You want to win the Super Bowl. That’s all that matters. So it didn’t bother me that Indianapolis rested its starters last week against the Jets, even if it nearly caused a riot at Lucas Oil Stadium. What bothered me was Jim Caldwell’s lack of imagination.

Now, it’s unclear whether Jim Caldwell is even alive. I am assuming he is because I’ve seen him blink at least five times this season. And because he’s alive, that means he made one of the most indefensible coaching blunders of all time: playing his starters for one half, but doing it in the FIRST half. How does that make sense?

Let’s think about this logically. Say Caldwell’s goal was to keep his starters healthy while also getting them some work. Playing them for one half would accomplish this goal, as we know. So two days before the game, Caldwell makes the following announcement: “I’m playing our backups in the first half. If they can keep it close, then I’ll play my starters in the second half.”

Now the fans know what to expect, and so do the players. Even better, this happens: The fans go into that game thinking, “We want to stay undefeated, we need to affect this game and help our backups!” And the starters are on the sideline urging them along. Come on, fellas! Keep it close for us! A “Hoosiers”-like atmosphere is spawned. Everyone rallies behind the ragtag underdogs, who end up playing over the heads and keeping it close. At the start of the third quarter, Peyton Manning and the starters jog out with the stadium going bonkers. Would the Jets have had a chance? No way.

Undefeated teams playing the starters in the second half, not the first half, as a strategic ploy that doesn’t piss off fans but actually engages them and gives everyone a common purpose? That’s my great call of the week.

Bill Simmons’ Article (12/31/09)

No need to go since I block quoted the whole thing.

I agree with the concept, I’m not really sure how that will effect the game itself. For a game against a playoff contender, I say heck no. For a cupcake game, I say go for it.

If the 2nd teamers manage to keep the game close, I feel like bringing in the starters will just make it more dangerous. The Texans will be fighting for a spot and they’ll go even harder at the end of the game if the outcome is still uncertain. I feel like a team with no shot will not make every tackle be their last, unlike a team with hope left.

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Jan 2, 2010 10:21 AM EST reply actions  

But the Colts would have had to start Manning to keep his streak going

Otherwise there really would have been an all-out riot… starting on the sidelines

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Jan 2, 2010 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh. He'll start.

Probably just one series, though.
And lost in the “Benching Gate” is the fact that is all of these teams on the bubble had won more games during the season, this wouldn’t and shouldn’t be an issue. I’m not a fan of the decision, but really, isn’t it up to teams to win their games so they don’t have to rely on other teams losing?

"I throw, you catch. It's NOT that hard!"
Peyton Manning, SNL, 2007

by peytonsthebest on Jan 2, 2010 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Absolutely

If Lord Favrequat leads the Jets to victory over Miami, Matt Cassel and the Pats make the playoffs in 2008. Nothing worse than having to rely on Favre in late December/early January.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Jan 2, 2010 2:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Favre is nothing is not consistent

in sucking late in the year. Makes me all warm and fuzzy inside! lol

"I throw, you catch. It's NOT that hard!"
Peyton Manning, SNL, 2007

by peytonsthebest on Jan 2, 2010 4:14 PM EST up reply actions  

It's just sad that the Jets have the easiest chance of making the playoffs...

…when they don’t deserve it at all. They face consecutive teams with nothing on the line while the other teams have had to face at least one other team with something to fight for.

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Jan 2, 2010 3:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Meh.

Jets won’t make it past the first round…they really kinda suck, y’know?

"I throw, you catch. It's NOT that hard!"
Peyton Manning, SNL, 2007

by peytonsthebest on Jan 2, 2010 4:13 PM EST up reply actions  

now that is what makes me all warm and fuzzy inside, lol.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Jan 2, 2010 6:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Yup!

Because if they do, they’ll probably have to face us.

Hire OC.

by Richard Hill on Jan 2, 2010 9:12 PM EST up reply actions  

MApatsfan...this is for you

http://i104.photobucket.com/albums/m174/bigsatan666/sigpic31449_6.jpg

Non Sibi Sed Patriae.
Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum!

I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

by NinjaZX6R on Jan 2, 2010 11:44 PM EST reply actions  

Oh dear...

That’s just… not right.

Blogger at SBNation's Patriots blog, Pats Pulpit

by MaPatsFan on Jan 3, 2010 11:59 AM EST up reply actions  

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