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Patriots Have Turned Around Their Red Zone Woes in 2010

The Patriots have done a lot of things better in 2010 than they did in 2009.  From the looks of things, they've solved their road woes, their second half woes on offense, among other things.  One aspect that has been overlooked has been the team's ability to finish drives off in the red zone.

In 2009, particularly early in the season, the Patriots would often get into the red zone, only to have drives stall and result in field goals.  In 2010, the Patriots have turned that fortune around.  So far this season, the Patriots have scored touchdowns on 61.4% of their red zone drives, up nearly 10% from last season.  Thursday against the Lions, the Patriots scored touchdowns on four of five red zone possessions.

So what is the reason for this change in success?

Find out after the jump.

Star-divide

In my opinion, it all boils down to balance and versatility.  Although the Patriots did have a solid run-pass touchdown balance in the red zone (14-12, respectively), the Patriots really only had one legitimate red zone option in the passing game: Randy Moss.  Because of this, we would often see Tom Brady force passes to Moss, making the team one dimensional.  The best example came from the Miami game last November, when Brady tried to force an end zone fade to Moss, only to have it intercepted by Vontae Davis.  In the running game, the Patriots turned to Laurence Maroney later in the year.  While he was solid near the goal line, his fumbling issues ultimately rendered his presence moot.

This year, since Randy Moss' departure, the team has been a lot more balanced in the red zone.  This year, Tom Brady is completing 64.6% of his passes, over 58.2% last year.  He has also thrown 16 touchdowns to ZERO interceptions, good for a staggering 111.4 rating.  Last year, Tom Brady only had Randy Moss.  This year, he has the option to throw to Rob Gronkowski, Aaron Hernandez, Wes Welker, or Deion Branch, among others.  In short, Brady is finding the open receiver, rather than relying on a guy such as Randy Moss to go up and get the ball.

For the running game, let us simply compare the stats between 2009's Laurence Maroney and 2010's BenJarvus Green-Ellis.

Maroney (2009): 43 carries, 117 yards, 2.7 YPC, 8 touchdowns, 2 fumbles

Green-Ellis (2010): 35 carries, 135 yards, 3.9 YPC, 9 touchdowns, 0 fumbles 

As the stats show, Green-Ellis is clearly the more efficient runner near the goal line.  Similar carries, more yards, more touchdowns, fewer mistakes.

Overall, the Patriots' red zone efficiency in 2010 is something that clearly shouldn't be overlooked, considering the team's struggles in that area in 2009.  Currently, the team is ranked 5th in the league in red zone scoring efficiency.  Over the last three games, the Patriots are turning nearly 70% of their red zone possessions into touchdowns.

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Zero Fumbles

The Law Firm has yet to fumble in his NFL career. He spells out the word efficient. I still blame Laurence Maroney for his goal line fumble that instead of a touchdown resulted in a Colts touchback for the loss in last year’s thriller. Green-Ellis can be counted on to not “dance with the stars” in the backfield, find the open hole, and thrust forward for the first/touchdown.

Cyril

by Cyrilp on Nov 30, 2010 6:15 PM EST reply actions  

I really appreciated that too, BJGE's ability to rush straight into the hole

watching the Colts-Chargers game, and the Colts’ RB couldn’t or wouldn’t hit the hole, he just kept going wide for maybe a 1 yard gain at most. It was frustrating to watch. I’ll take the Pats’ undrafted no-names any day of the week.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Nov 30, 2010 7:09 PM EST up reply actions  

The thing I've enjoyed more is he's gotten ALOT better at finding a hole instead of just hitting the specified one

Last year, he was losing yardage because he just kept running right where he was supposed to. This year, he’s bouncing it around a little bit. Not saying he’s dancing though, once that decision on what hole he wants is made.. he hits it like a truck.

by satsunada on Nov 30, 2010 11:06 PM EST up reply actions  

I think part of that is having the bigger/better TEs

Crumpler’s a beast, and Gronk’s nearer to 270lbs than 260. Watson was a decent blocker, but he was closer to Hernandez’s size and the fact that Hernandez barely makes it on the field as a blocker this year really shows how outmatched Watson was in a power-TE role.

Token southern hemisphere guy - 14,688km from Foxboro. That's 9128 miles, for you heathens.

by Comedic.Sans on Nov 30, 2010 11:21 PM EST up reply actions  

lol

that had A LOT of sexual innuendo

No I'm not the best, I just live life like it.

Formerly Moss81

by 2Chung5 on Dec 1, 2010 1:12 AM EST up reply actions  

To win this year, we need to score early, score often, and most importantly, score the most points.

Nice to see some diversity in the red zone.

My life has been a trivial pursuit. Trivia: where three roads meet.
The more you know, the more you know that you don't know.

by SlotMachinePlayer on Nov 30, 2010 6:43 PM EST reply actions  

Nice, Greg

  How about on the defensive side? I think we had some major issues last year on D in the red zone, and I would suspect we have improved this year as well, Lions game notwithstanding.

by furiousd on Nov 30, 2010 7:37 PM EST reply actions  

prob bad

cause i remember last yr, mike reiss posted one every week…and i think we ranked in the mid 20’s…now our redzone D is ranked 27th.
here is the link of the 2010 team
http://espn.go.com/blog/boston/new-england-patriots/post/_/id/4688524/stat-check-turnover-differential-solid

Non Sibi Sed Patriae &I love my ZX-6r Kawasaki.
I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

Toy Story wears no. 39 100x better than D.D.R

Pat McAfee -Colts punter-"@StampedeBlue I hope your website gets exposed for a complete joke. There’s no reason for you to do that, and its completely ridiculous."

by NinjaZX6R on Nov 30, 2010 8:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Before clicking the jump, I'd have guessed BJGE and a sharper Brady.

Yup.

I think it was kind of the giant white elephant in the room that nobody was willing to talk about last year: Brady was scarily inconsistent and, at times, just not good (final QB rating notwithstanding). Coming off his knee injury, there was reason to think, for me at least, that maybe he wouldn’t ever be the same. Obviously, he’s dispelled any of those worries this year with a pretty damn dominant performance since Week 2, and it shows up here too.

And of course, we saw in the preseason what Law Firm could do for us in the red zone when the Patriots seemed to hand it off every single time and just pound the ball in.

1+2 = Holy crap that’s a lot of touchdowns.

Over the Monster -- SB Nation's Resident Red Sox Site
USG

by Ben Buchanan on Nov 30, 2010 8:49 PM EST reply actions  

I think it was kind of the giant white elephant in the room that nobody was willing to talk about last year: Brady was scarily inconsistent and, at times, just not good (final QB rating notwithstanding)

Could’ve said that weeks 1-4, too. There was that weird preoccupation with getting Moss a lot of ball, even if the game didn’t suit. They stopped that against the ’Phins, and voila, Brady looked great.

Token southern hemisphere guy - 14,688km from Foxboro. That's 9128 miles, for you heathens.

by Comedic.Sans on Nov 30, 2010 8:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Browns game he looked pretty rough

Though the last few games I’ve noticed that the receivers get stationery a lot. He doesn’t hit moving targets often unless it’s Gronk up a seam. I think it helps his accuracy to hit the sitting guy first .. makes for those laser accurate passes later to Gronk or Tate. Now if we could only improve Tate’s hands somehow…

by satsunada on Nov 30, 2010 11:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Yep, Tate needs the reps to improve

He’s still catching more than he’s not (his catch/target rate is above 50, 55%) but he doesn’t look great in comparison to Welker/Branch. I think you’re spot on when you point out a lot of Welker/Branch’s passes are when they’re stationary. It’s not necessarily an easier catch – you have to use a different set of techniques when you’re planted – but it’s perhaps an easier adjustment because they’re often turned around and looking at Brady. Tate has to swivel his head around and find the ball, which is perhaps something he hasn’t practiced much as a returner-come-WR.

Token southern hemisphere guy - 14,688km from Foxboro. That's 9128 miles, for you heathens.

by Comedic.Sans on Nov 30, 2010 11:24 PM EST up reply actions  

I was listening to Rich Eisen's podcast. He had an interview with Brady.

After talking about his hair for about 5mins, Tom said, “Galloway texted him, and was clowning on the Michigan Wolverines slump”. Too bad Tom has too much class to clown on Galloway’s recent release. Great listen.

Don't cut your locks Tom Terrific!

by PatNation85 on Nov 30, 2010 9:07 PM EST reply actions  

BTW Greg, Brady has 23 TDs....

to still 4 INTs…remarkable at this stage of the year.

I don't think so. Homey don't play dat.
Creator of the moniker "DDR©"

by AtomicDawg on Nov 30, 2010 10:46 PM EST reply actions  

oh, sorry, since, Moss left....

hah, got a case of the PN disease

I don't think so. Homey don't play dat.
Creator of the moniker "DDR©"

by AtomicDawg on Nov 30, 2010 10:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Should be 3 INTs

Brady’s last interception was a Hail Mary to close out regulation against the Ravens. Those are meant to be picked off.

Does anyone else but me agree that we should’ve kicked a field goal there? It would’ve been like a 62 yarder but with the way the wind had been blowing in our favor and seeing the kickoffs sail, I think Gostkowski had a legitimate chance at winning the game then and there.

Cyril

by Cyrilp on Nov 30, 2010 10:50 PM EST up reply actions  

dont think that was possible in that game

if i recall correctly ed reed didnt play in that game.

by brady12mvp3 on Dec 1, 2010 10:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Tom Zbikowski was playing FS in that game...

but he’s a like-for-like swap. He’s a KR like Reed, too, albeit not as fast.

Token southern hemisphere guy - 14,688km from Foxboro. That's 9128 miles, for you heathens.

by Comedic.Sans on Dec 1, 2010 6:34 PM EST up reply actions  

...or block a FG for a TD

My life has been a trivial pursuit. Trivia: where three roads meet.
The more you know, the more you know that you don't know.

by SlotMachinePlayer on Dec 1, 2010 4:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Long FGs are risky

the kicker has to hit it harder and flatter, so there’s that risk of it being blocked (just ask the ‘Phins about long FGs). Even if he drills it, if it’s left or right you’re asking Ed Reed or Zbikowski or whoever to return it 100 yards for a TD, and it feels like the Ravens do that half a dozen times a season.

Token southern hemisphere guy - 14,688km from Foxboro. That's 9128 miles, for you heathens.

by Comedic.Sans on Nov 30, 2010 11:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Comedic, do you think we'll see more H-Bomb than Gronk in this game?

Especially considering what happened in week 2?

Don't cut your locks Tom Terrific!

by PatNation85 on Nov 30, 2010 11:35 PM EST reply actions  

i say

you could see a mix of both…
i would love to use Branch and Wes along with Alge/Gronk and Herndo (split wide) w. the Law Firm or Woody

Non Sibi Sed Patriae &I love my ZX-6r Kawasaki.
I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

Toy Story wears no. 39 100x better than D.D.R

Pat McAfee -Colts punter-"@StampedeBlue I hope your website gets exposed for a complete joke. There’s no reason for you to do that, and its completely ridiculous."

by NinjaZX6R on Nov 30, 2010 11:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I wonder if they'll use most 2TE with Gronk and Crumpler to establish the run...

and if/when they move into more 3WR sets (second half?) that Hernandez might be the 3rd WR instead of Tate. Cromartie would be all over Tate as a deep threat, but both Cromartie and Revis might struggle with Hernandez’s physicality. And I’d just love to see Wilson on Hernandez. Can I turn down a pass interference because he caught it anyway? Yes please.

Token southern hemisphere guy - 14,688km from Foxboro. That's 9128 miles, for you heathens.

by Comedic.Sans on Dec 1, 2010 2:04 AM EST up reply actions  

I would love for Woody to get a TD in this game.

Then pose for Rexy

Don't cut your locks Tom Terrific!

by PatNation85 on Nov 30, 2010 11:59 PM EST reply actions  

I want a Woody trifecta

Rushing, receiving, and special teams TDs (force a fumble, pick it up, and scamper into the endzone before anyone sees him!).

Fenway: "An alternate and better universe, disguised as a ballpark." --Thomas Boswell

by lone1c on Dec 1, 2010 7:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Hey Comedic..... you might be needed, although I am sure you may be very tired of it.

It’s the spy gate thing… again. I posted down some quotes by you and SMP, but feel free to join in since you have better knowledge at it, as well as experience at destroying those who mention it.

http://www.ganggreennation.com/2010/11/30/1847316/tom-brady-the-ideal-jet#comments

I’ll take 11 players with heart on the field over 11 guys with just talent. Talent is fleeting, it goes away over time. Heart is what drives you to be better. To push yourself beyond what you think your capabilities are. To show us that when you strive, all things are possible.- SMP

These players, a lot of other people didn't believe in them, but they believe in themselves. And that is all that matters."- Bill Belichick

I'm also a Raider Fan dammit!!! RAIDER NATION!!!!

by patriotguy2 on Dec 1, 2010 12:22 AM EST reply actions  

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