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Why the Patriots Will Sack Jay Cutler 5 Times

Read that title again. The Patriots, the same team that ranks 24th in the league, will register 5 sacks on Jay Cutler. Write that down and take it to the bank.

What's my reasoning? Just look at Cutler's history. Cutler's been sacked in every single game this season. He's been sacked multiple times a game in every game, but two (and one was against the Buffalo Bills). In Cutler's three losses, he's been sacked 9, 6 and 4 times. That's absurd. In his past three games, he's been taken down 3, 4 and 4 times. He's the most sacked quarterback in the league.

There are two reasons why Cutler gets sacked so many times.

1. Cutler Has a Terrible Offensive Line.

2. Cutler Holds the Ball too Long.

Let's take a look at these three reasons after the jump!

Star-divide

1. Cutler Has a Terrible Offensive Line

Evidence: Evidence AEvidence B, Evidence C, Evidence D, Evidence E

What's Happening? Jay Cutler's right tackle is especially awful, but the entire offensive line is on different pages from each other. You know how the Patriots offensive line plays like a unit, where each player knows their assignment, but they help out the other linemen. The Guards slide to help the center or the tackles, depending on who needs help. Watch some of these clips- it's like the linemen are playing with blinders on. They have their assignment and they play out their assignment. They don't look around and they have no awareness of what's happening in the grand scheme of the play.

How the Patriots Will Take Advantage: Bill Belichick will use a plethora of defensive schemes to confuse the offensive line. If the line continues to follow its assignment, regardless of how the defense reacts, then the Patriots will gladly use new alignments that the Bears have not seen. Expect plenty of delay rushes as the Bears linemen act out their assignments, leaving gaps for linebackers to rush through for the sack. Gary Guyton will pick up a sack. I believe that a player of the Patriots' secondary will pick up their first sack of the season.

---

2. Cutler Holds the Ball too Long

Evidence: Evidence A, Evidence B, Evidence C, Evidence D

What's Happening? Cutler doesn't like to check down to his receivers. In most of the evidence, there are receivers that are underneath and open that Cutler recognizes and decides not to throw to them. Common theme through the videos? All are on third down. Cutler's willing to hold onto the ball and risk the sack instead of throw underneath and miss the first down. Just look at the numbers of Cutler: 21 of his 41 sacks have come on third down. That's an extremely high number. Cutler doesn't throw the ball on third down unless it's for the first down.

How the Patriots Will Take Advantage: The Patriots will keep up the pressure. The one thing the Patriots are good at when generating pressure- and possibly the only thing- is how they never stop hustling after the quarterback. None of the Patriots' rushers have elite closing speed. In fact, I would say that most of them have below average closing speed. On third down, the Patriots have to have a spy on Cutler the entire time. That way, Cutler can't use his mobility for a first down. Containing Cutler in the back of the field keeps him in a box and forces him to either throw the ball under pressure, for a possible interception (5, or 50%, of his interceptions have been on 3rd down), or forces him to take the sack.

---

So what will the Patriots defense do in order to sack Jay Cutler? The Patriots defense must mix up their defensive schemes in order to confuse the Bears' offensive line. They must send 4 players after Cutler, and they must do it two ways: First way is with the 4th player coming in on a delay after they determine where the offensive line is running. The second way is having a player (Jermaine Cunningham? Kyle Arrington?) put their hand in the ground against the Bears' right tackle and have them either bull through the tackle and turn inside (Cunningham) or run around the tackle (Arrington) in order to reach Cutler through the weak side of the offensive line.

In addition, the Patriots must keep a spy on Cutler on third down and short downs. Cutler likes to run and he has the mobility to do it. Keeping a player like Jerod Mayo in the middle of the field to watch Cutler will prevent a lot of first downs. Keeping a player on Cutler will not only stop the first down, but it also pick up a couple sacks for the defense if they nab him in the background.

The Patriots haven't been able to rack up sacks, despite being around the quarterback. Cutler is the perfect quarterback to take advantage and add to the stat sheet.

Poll
How many times will the Patriots sack Jay Cutler?
0
61 votes
1
55 votes
2
133 votes
3
241 votes
4
153 votes
5
68 votes
6+
153 votes

864 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 36 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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If we can sack Big Ben 3 or 4 times....i can see us getting to Cutler 5 times

but I just don’t see that happening

Non Sibi Sed Patriae &I love my ZX-6r Kawasaki.
I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

Toy Story wears no. 39 100x better than D.D.R

Pat McAfee -Colts punter-"@StampedeBlue I hope your website gets exposed for a complete joke. There’s no reason for you to do that, and its completely ridiculous."

by NinjaZX6R on Dec 11, 2010 1:26 PM EST reply actions  

I voted 6+

Maybe unrealistic, but it could happen. Their O-line is pretty bad, Cunningham and Banta-Cain could be too much for them to handle around the edges, and I could see Vince doing some work up the middle of the pocket. Also, point no.2 screams Dane Fletcher.

Having said all that, the weather is supposed to suck. Winds could deter teams from throwing that much, so the opportunities for sacks are going to be limited. If I had thought about it first I probably would have voted 2 or 3.

Deep in enemy territory

by JeffyB on Dec 11, 2010 1:29 PM EST reply actions  

I would love to see us in a 4-3 for some of the game

setup as follows:

Arrington – Wilfork – Brace – Love

Cunningham – Mayo – Ninkovich

If they have trouble with speed, by god let’s put Arrington at end and have Cunningham outside him for run support or zone blitzing. If Mike Wright is capable of playing, swap out Brace for him so the center has to pick which evil he wants.. Wright’s motor and bull rush or Wilfork’s mass and power.

by satsunada on Dec 11, 2010 1:57 PM EST reply actions  

rather have

 JC instead of Kyle and Guyton as the weakside OLB and take out Love for Wright

Kyle Love is a Vince mold…you can’t have him play 4-3 DE

Non Sibi Sed Patriae &I love my ZX-6r Kawasaki.
I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

Toy Story wears no. 39 100x better than D.D.R

Pat McAfee -Colts punter-"@StampedeBlue I hope your website gets exposed for a complete joke. There’s no reason for you to do that, and its completely ridiculous."

by NinjaZX6R on Dec 11, 2010 2:05 PM EST up reply actions  

That's if Wright plays

and he’s been inactive for 3 weeks now

I don't think so. Homey don't play dat.
Creator of the moniker "DDR©"

by AtomicDawg on Dec 11, 2010 3:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Wright is OUT

so…yeah.

Wisconsin, Big Ten Champions for the first time since 1999...
You'll notice NCAA has no letter for the incompetence within...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 12, 2010 1:56 AM EST up reply actions  

The point's to have speed with runstopping backup.

Nink and Guyton aren’t great at sealing an edge and Cunningham has been improving pretty steadily. He also would hel

Also, Wright hasn’t played much but really isn’t good at run support so he’d be better served doing his bull rush thing up the middle. Love is on the outside because .. well.. we’re limited atm on options. It’s either him or Deaderick but we’d want a larger guy out there to help cut off the outside run. It’s not like we weren’t doing the same thing with Vince earlier in the season.

by satsunada on Dec 11, 2010 3:38 PM EST up reply actions  

if you want to stop the outside runs

can’t have a 300+lbs 3-4 DE playing 4-3 DE or even a 190 pound CB

Non Sibi Sed Patriae &I love my ZX-6r Kawasaki.
I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

Toy Story wears no. 39 100x better than D.D.R

Pat McAfee -Colts punter-"@StampedeBlue I hope your website gets exposed for a complete joke. There’s no reason for you to do that, and its completely ridiculous."

by NinjaZX6R on Dec 11, 2010 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Wilfork would disagree with you :P

And Arrington isn’t big enough to pull off a 3-4 DE very well. Also, linebackers are generally better at containment.

by satsunada on Dec 11, 2010 4:10 PM EST up reply actions  

well Vince has never ever played 4-3 DE

3-4 DE Yes but not 4-3 DE.

If you’re gonna play 4-3 D…i rather have JC and Ninko as my pass rushers/edge setters and Vince and Pryor as my 4-3 DT

Non Sibi Sed Patriae &I love my ZX-6r Kawasaki.
I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

Toy Story wears no. 39 100x better than D.D.R

Pat McAfee -Colts punter-"@StampedeBlue I hope your website gets exposed for a complete joke. There’s no reason for you to do that, and its completely ridiculous."

by NinjaZX6R on Dec 11, 2010 4:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Well.... I think we'll get 3.

Cutler has had several breakdowns, but I’m sure he avoided sacks many times as well. And we know how awesome our DL can finish for a sack.

I am reluctant to say that we’ll destroy him. I have been surprised many times this season, so I won’t expect the norm.

I’ll take 11 players with heart on the field over 11 guys with just talent. Talent is fleeting, it goes away over time. Heart is what drives you to be better. To push yourself beyond what you think your capabilities are. To show us that when you strive, all things are possible.- SMP

These players, a lot of other people didn't believe in them, but they believe in themselves. And that is all that matters."- Bill Belichick

I'm also a Raider Fan dammit!!! RAIDER NATION!!!!

by patriotguy2 on Dec 11, 2010 2:12 PM EST reply actions  

I haven't looked at the sack numbers too closely,

but I have noticed that Cutler has 5 td’s and 1 pick in his last 3 games. That tells me that the offense is coming together, improving. Remember this is a first year offense under Mike Martz, there was bound to be some growing pains, and we certainly saw that. But, there is no doubt that this is a better offense than they were the first month of the season. So, as much as i would love to see us get 5 sacks and 3 picks, I don’t want to underestimate the fact that the Bears have been much better lately. As I said, I’m not sure of the sack numbers, other than I know they got sacked 9 times in one game and that skews the numbers a bit, but as far as efficiency and ball protection, this team has improved.
   Will be interesting to see how this game plays out in 25 degree weather on a wet/frozen field.

by furiousd on Dec 11, 2010 3:10 PM EST reply actions  

Ok, went back and saw you posted the sack numbers

from the last 3 games – 3, 4 and 4. Not great, so that appears to still be an issue for them. Hopefully, we can take advantage.

by furiousd on Dec 11, 2010 3:15 PM EST reply actions  

We're getting awfully cocky around here all of a sudden.

I think the Jets game tells us more about them than it does about us. All the problems we had before that game, we still have. If Sanchez was more accurate, if his pass catchers make 5 more catches (instead of drops), that’s a very different game.

As Mr. Sloan always says, there is no "I" in team, but there is an "I" in pie. And there's an "I" in meat pie. Anagram of meat is team... I don't know what he's talking about. --Shaun of the Dead

by JohnHannahRules on Dec 11, 2010 5:07 PM EST reply actions  

Agreed

We were the better team that night no doubt, but we aren’t 6 touchdowns better than the Jets. Like the Titans game last season or the Cardinals game in 2008; we played well and they fell apart. The Bears are a 9-3 team with a great defense and an offense that has been improving lately and winning games. They also have a very effective run game that doesn’t rely upon draw plays or the threat of a passing attack to function. If the weather is as bad as they say it’s going to be I have to think they are the favorites to win.

Deep in enemy territory

by JeffyB on Dec 11, 2010 5:15 PM EST up reply actions  

My thought:

The Patriots sacked Big Ben numerous times and he’s the most similar quarterback to Cutler in respect to holding the football too long. This is a perfect storm sort of scenario for the Patriots. The Bears have the worst O-Line in the league and they have a quarterback that can’t get rid of the ball.

by Richard Hill on Dec 11, 2010 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

PS

Cameron Wake? Ndomakung Suh? Brandon Graham (yes)? Vanden Bosch? Point me to the Patriot in their league.

Pass defenses: Detriot, #16. Eagles, #17. Miami, #4. New England, #31.

Look, I’m not saying we’re bound to lose — far from it. But all this swole-up, “we’re going to eviscerate their defense and sack Cutler 5 times” just doesn’t seem warranted to me. I guess it makes good copy, and I hope you’re right, but I don’t buy it. At least on the defensive side. I agree we have a great offense, but we aren’t the best road team, the field sucks, the weather will suck. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

As Mr. Sloan always says, there is no "I" in team, but there is an "I" in pie. And there's an "I" in meat pie. Anagram of meat is team... I don't know what he's talking about. --Shaun of the Dead

by JohnHannahRules on Dec 11, 2010 5:17 PM EST reply actions  

Counter point:

Seahawks had 6 sacks. Redskins had 4 sacks. I think the Patriots have better defenses than both of those teams (and better than Detroit). A lot of the sacks on Cutler have come from the linebackers on interior blitzes and secondary players who catch him off guard and a lot of sacks have come from the linemen themselves. It’s not as simple as “all of the sacks come from one player.” There are multiple players reaching Cutler on a consistent basis. It’s not like only the strong defenses are sacking Cutler. EVERY team is taking him down.

by Richard Hill on Dec 11, 2010 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Fair enough.

Like I said, I hope you’re right.

As Mr. Sloan always says, there is no "I" in team, but there is an "I" in pie. And there's an "I" in meat pie. Anagram of meat is team... I don't know what he's talking about. --Shaun of the Dead

by JohnHannahRules on Dec 11, 2010 6:22 PM EST up reply actions  

It could be phrased like the New York papers did with Vernon Gholston

“Patriots Defense Getting Closer to Sacking Jay Cutler Five Times”

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Dec 11, 2010 8:37 PM EST up reply actions  

But then there's an unfortunate element of doubt involved.

Belichick doesn’t deal in doubts, does he?

Wisconsin, Big Ten Champions for the first time since 1999...
You'll notice NCAA has no letter for the incompetence within...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 12, 2010 1:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Their offense has improved considerably since the first half of the season

While they are still getting sacked 3,4,4 times in their most recent games, the offense has still been as productive as anyone in the league. They are finding ways to overcome these setbacks and its mostly due to the maturation of Cutler. He is not as easily rattled as he previously was.

First off, I don’t think we will get 5 or 6 sacks. Secondly, even if we do, a sack will not necessarily be a drive killer. Martz has realized he will not get a job again if his offense stinks it up like they were when they were running their “mike martz offense”. He will get creative and play to win, not to showoff as he likes doing. When they do have 3-and outs our offense has to put the dagger in by scoring. Our defense relies on the offense to give them separation and they will need help again this week.

by ximan86x on Dec 11, 2010 6:45 PM EST reply actions  

Atleast Jay Cutler is a man

And is willing to take the sack instead of forcing throws for easy interceptions like *cough*Mark*cough*Sanchez.

Cyril P
cyrilp715@yahoo.com

by Cyrilp on Dec 11, 2010 7:38 PM EST reply actions  

Surely you Jest.

No one does that.

*cough*Peyton Manning*cough*

by Chari on Dec 11, 2010 7:49 PM EST up reply actions  

watch out...bbs will ban you for that comment

Non Sibi Sed Patriae &I love my ZX-6r Kawasaki.
I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

Toy Story wears no. 39 100x better than D.D.R

Pat McAfee -Colts punter-"@StampedeBlue I hope your website gets exposed for a complete joke. There’s no reason for you to do that, and its completely ridiculous."

by NinjaZX6R on Dec 11, 2010 8:13 PM EST up reply actions  

a dictator is always a dictator ?

Non Sibi Sed Patriae &I love my ZX-6r Kawasaki.
I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

Toy Story wears no. 39 100x better than D.D.R

Pat McAfee -Colts punter-"@StampedeBlue I hope your website gets exposed for a complete joke. There’s no reason for you to do that, and its completely ridiculous."

by NinjaZX6R on Dec 11, 2010 10:06 PM EST up reply actions  

a guy with a fragile personality who takes out Colts fans

has no qualms blacklisting a Patriots fan?

Wisconsin, Big Ten Champions for the first time since 1999...
You'll notice NCAA has no letter for the incompetence within...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 12, 2010 1:58 AM EST up reply actions  

No mention of Brett Favre?

Wisconsin, Big Ten Champions for the first time since 1999...
You'll notice NCAA has no letter for the incompetence within...

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Dec 12, 2010 1:57 AM EST up reply actions  

He just does them for fun.

Token southern hemisphere guy - 14,688km from Foxboro. That's 9128 miles, for you heathens.

by Comedic.Sans on Dec 12, 2010 3:57 AM EST up reply actions  

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