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Week 16 Patriots vs Dolphins: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly

Word of the Week:

Houdini

Definition:

Verb; To make something where there was once nothing.

Use in a sentence:

The Patriots managed to Houdini a win against the Dolphins

Don't be confused- the Patriots managed to beat the Dolphins with a ridiculous second half. The Dolphins didn't lose the game. The Patriots just made adjustments after a disastrous first half in order to come out guns blazing in the second half. Still, the Patriots have been making magic happen in this final stretch of the season and, hopefully, that leads to a fruitful postseason.

There was lots of Ugly on the Patriots side during the game. Let's take a look at the game:

Star-divide

The Ugly

The Patriots First Half - This one's easy enough. There was nothing good about the first half of the game, unless you are looking at a couple of pass break-ups by Devin McCourty on passes to Brandon Marshall. The Patriots couldn't get anything going on either side of the ball.

Injuries - It was bad enough that the Patriots lost tackle Matt Light during warm-ups, but the trouble went to the next level when guard Logan Mankins stepped up to play tackle and suffered a knee sprain early in the game. The Patriots cannot afford injuries on an already injury-decimated roster.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis - Benny shows up for a second time as Stevan Ridley starts getting more touches. BJGE whiffed on a block on an early sack on Tom Brady and was generally ineffective in the run game (although he only received 3 touches). Still, the Patriots found fullback Lousaka Polite in order to bolster the running game, which means that the Patriots brass were unhappy with the current state of the running game. That starts with BJGE.

Defending the Deep Ball - The strength of the "Bend-Don't-Break" defense is that it's not allowed to give up back-breaking plays. That's why I'm always surprised when the Patriots don't play the safeties more conservatively and, instead, play them closer to the line. Every single Patriots defender who allowed a completion (McCourty, Kyle Arrington, Nate Jones, Jerod Mayo, James Ihedigbo) allowed a play of 14+ yards, which is not acceptable. While some of that is on the safeties, this wasn't the case in every long pass against the Dolphins. McCourty didn't turn his head around on one play. Mayo was lined up across from Brandon Marshall on another. Sergio Brown was a step too late to help Arrington cover Marshall. The Patriots need to make the necessary adjustments to stop the deep ball.

The Bad

James Ihedigbo - For another week, Ihedigbo is the week link the secondary. Ihedigbo was the lesser of the Patriots two safeties on the field, which is never a good sign. He continues to struggle in coverage of the outlet receiver and struggles to read the play as it unfolds. He is fantastic against the run, which is a positive, but he's such a liability in the passing game.

First Half Wes Welker - Welker was dropping balls left and right and was unable to generate consistent separation from his coverage. Welker admitted that he had some issues and it was clear that he was angry at himself on a few plays. Brady was definitely throwing some balls into the dirt by Welker's feet, but that's usually a sign that the coverage is strong and Brady doesn't want to risk an interception. First half Welker was pretty bad.

Tom Brady's Connection With Receivers - This was pretty much the whole game, until Welker found his groove in the second half. Still, Brady was extremely inaccurate on his quick throws to his receivers (specifically Welker and Deion Branch). This is most likely a combination of the weak offensive line (in the first half) and a potential bruise on his throwing arm that he suffered through earlier in the season. Still, Brady found his groove in the second half, but it was clear some things were off.

Erratic Referees - When Dane Fletcher gunned through the offensive line and Matt Moore slung the ball out of bounds, that should have been intentional grounding. He hit the wall behind the sideline. He didn't look before he chucked the ball. No call. When Devin McCourty attacked the receiver and was flagged for pass interference, the ball was way too high for the receiver to catch (ie: it was uncatchable). Still, McCourty hit the receiver before and deserved to be flagged- for illegal contact. Nope. Pass Interference. The referees seemed a little off all game for both sides (I'll admit I only noted when they were against the Patriots. I'm sure some went against the Dolphins). Hope that the offices took note.

The Good

Donald Thomas, Marcus Cannon, and Nate Solder - No, they weren't phenomenal. They were average. Still, when those three were tapped on the shoulder and asked to step up in the game, they played as well as two rookies and a journeyman could have been expected to play. Cannon had the unenviable task of slowing Cameron Wake and did a good job of keeping Brady clean. Solder and Thomas had to hold down Brady's blind side and also did fairly well once they settled down. All three seemed jumpy and out of place in the first half, but they were able to establish themselves in the second half and helped hold down the fort during the comeback. Cannon needs to improve his run blocking, but he looks like a late round steal.

Sergio Brown - Yep, Brown was absolutely average. Nothing great of note; more importantly, nothing excessively negative of note. He has plenty to improve upon, but he wasn't a liability at the safety position and could have just had the necessary good game to turn around his season. If he can play at this average level and Pat Chung returns, the Patriots could have a secondary that's only average- and that's a huge bonus for this team.

Devin McCourty - Hear me out; McCourty allowed a few bad plays. Still, the Patriots trusted McCourty to coverage of Marshall and held him to 3 receptions on 8 attempts for 91 yards and no touchdowns. Yes, McCourty was beaten by Marshall on those two bad plays- but those were the only two times Marshall beat him and the Patriots were sliding Marshall around to get him away from McCourty. McCourty was in position for all completions, other than Brian Hartline's early in the game, and the Patriots didn't give him safety help. Oh, and he swatted down three passes and nabbed an interception. I think he's turning it around just in time for the playoffs.

Stephen Gostkowski and Zoltan Mesko - These two make up the core of the Patriots solid special teams. Mesko is 3rd in the league in net yards per punt and is 5th in percentage of punts inside the 20. Gostkowski had a great day on kickoffs and pitched in with two 40+ yard field goals and a special teams tackle. Very good day for these two Patriots.

Second Half Wes Welker - That was the Wes we all know and love. After being shut down for a lot of the first half, Welker broke out for a huge second half. Hopefully he realized what was slowing him in the first half and can take that into the future when making adjustments against playoff defenses.

Stevan Ridley - Ridley is providing one of the only bright spots in the Patriots run game. He continues to break for extra yards and brings a spark to the offense that BenJarvus Green-Ellis can't bring. I think Danny Woodhead can bring that same spark, but in a different way- Ridley is able to bring it as a road grader and slasher. Ridley had another solid day and should see a fair amount of snaps in Week 17.

Dane Fletcher - Fletcher had a huge day at linebacker and did everything well. He was a force against the run. He was a great pass rusher. He was targeted in coverage twice and didn't allow a completion. A fantastic day for Fletcher who, if he keeps this up, could entirely alleviate the loss of Brandon Spikes. Fletcher is on a huge upwards trajectory.

---

Basically, the Patriots played two entirely different halves. Hopefully they don't need to Houdini homefield advantage throughout the playoffs and can put the Bills away.

Comment 28 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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As far as I am concerned

that is Fletcher’s job to lose the rest of the way this year. Spikes was out only 4 weeks last year and not even for an injury so consider me a little skeptical that he will come back in time for the playoffs conditioned and ready to go.

Also, if BB chooses to resign BJGE this is exactly the type of year allowing him to get him on the cheap.

by Oughat on Dec 29, 2011 4:17 PM EST reply actions  

Fletcher had a great game.

Would love to see him play alongside Spikes, Mayo, and Ninkovich.
Although I don’t think it would hurt to consider OLBs in the draft or FA.

It is what it is

by Middlesex on Dec 29, 2011 7:09 PM EST up reply actions  

The 3-4 is not out of the question either. we could see more fletcher in that as well.

I’ll take 11 players with heart on the field over 11 guys with just talent. Talent is fleeting, it goes away over time. Heart is what drives you to be better. To push yourself beyond what you think your capabilities are. To show us that when you strive, all things are possible.- SMP

by Jack'sAxe on Dec 30, 2011 12:02 AM EST up reply actions  

I can’t help but wonder if Fletcher is the answer at OLB if we go back to a 3-4
He’s a converted DE
Surely, surely, surely, he’s going to be better off the edge than up the gut? And we’ve seen him spy RBs etc. so he’s obviously OK in space

by quadruple option on Dec 29, 2011 4:36 PM EST reply actions  

was thinking the same thing

Mayo/Spikes ILBs and Nink/Fletcher OLBs

"Thirty-seven points on the best defense in the league, suck my d–k" - Bill Belichick

The Ryan Brothers: Two brother's who never played a down as an NFL player, Yet feel the need to trash talk like they are in the Hall Of Fame

by BostonBeasts on Dec 29, 2011 5:10 PM EST up reply actions  

With Anderson rotating in as the pass rush joker

by quadruple option on Dec 29, 2011 5:11 PM EST up reply actions  

I’ve been thinking the same thing. I’m not sure if Bill is ever going to install a 3-4 base, or if he’s possibly waiting for the playoffs. I’m not sure if they go back to 3-4 unless Spikes comes back though.

the artist formerly known as amadeus

'I don't make my living by making my living. My time is so important that I can't compromise my taste- or my idea of what's right- simply to match someone else's view of what's a good, calculated move"- Robert Plant

contributing writer at www.HeadkickLegend.com and www.PatsPulpit.com

by Austin Martin on Dec 29, 2011 6:45 PM EST up reply actions  

I'd like to see Fletcher and Spikes as the ILBs

with Ninkovich and Mayo at OLBs.

Spikes and Fletcher both thrive at attacking the line of scrimmage.

It is what it is

by Middlesex on Dec 29, 2011 7:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Also;

I thought Fletcher handled green-dot assignments well during preseason.

It is what it is

by Middlesex on Dec 29, 2011 7:20 PM EST up reply actions  

A little love for Hernandez?

Huge day from him — definitely one for the “good.”

"Every time I call it a game, you call it a business. Every time I call it a business, you call it a game."

by JohnHannahRules on Dec 29, 2011 5:31 PM EST reply actions  

Jerod Mayo also had a fantastic game

but when there’s so many ‘Goods’ that there just isn’t enough room to credit everyone who deserved placement, that’s gotta be a good thing, right? ;-)

Cyril P
liryc715@yahoo.com

by Cyrilp on Dec 29, 2011 5:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Agreed : )

I learned how to make a sig just so it can say "DFA Darnell MacDonald". That means it must happen.

by Tai on Dec 30, 2011 7:25 PM EST up reply actions  

A propos of nothing

I was just thinking about Nick MacDonald. One day you’re on the practice squad and the very next day TOM BRADY is tapping you on the ass and screaming “54 IS THE MIKE” in your ear. Holy shit, dude.

"Every time I call it a game, you call it a business. Every time I call it a business, you call it a game."

by JohnHannahRules on Dec 29, 2011 6:25 PM EST reply actions  

Glad more are in agreement on "booo, Ihedigbo!"

He’s lost out there.

I can’t believe I’m saying it, but Sergio isn’t looking as bad as he was earlier in the season. Oh wait; it was impossible to look worse than how he was loooking then. He’s average and saying so would probably make him feel good about himself. That’s the situation we have with Sergio Brown. His average game against the Dolphins is probably the 2nd best we can hope for from our Safety corps.

If Chung and Spikes are going to be ok for the post-season then I hope they get some snaps in this game to work off the rust.

It is what it is

by Middlesex on Dec 29, 2011 7:19 PM EST reply actions  

Yeah, Personally I wouldn't mind Chung and Nate Jones

the artist formerly known as amadeus

'I don't make my living by making my living. My time is so important that I can't compromise my taste- or my idea of what's right- simply to match someone else's view of what's a good, calculated move"- Robert Plant

contributing writer at www.HeadkickLegend.com and www.PatsPulpit.com

by Austin Martin on Dec 29, 2011 7:32 PM EST up reply actions  

meh

Nate Jones was getting owned in coverage.

by Oughat on Dec 29, 2011 8:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Most times when I see a receiver catch it with no one around him...

I’m looking for Ihedigbo chasing him from the edge of the screen. I don’t blame him, he’s a special teams guy who’s been forced to become a starter. But man oh man I will be glad when I don’t have to see him out there on a regular basis.

I’d like to see Sergio do some more of the physical hitting that I saw a bit of. Having a thumper back there could at least make some of the receivers think twice when going across the middle.

by Aluminum Penguin on Dec 29, 2011 10:18 PM EST up reply actions  

You're not allowed to hit receivers anymore.

“They’ll call that every time!” calls out the announcer. Of course, it’s only called ~30% of the time. I think it’s still worth going for the big hit. Especially in the playoffs.

True wealth is a shelf full of unread books.

by Hometown Gyro on Dec 30, 2011 1:44 PM EST up reply actions  

I thought we'd be seeing Chung and Spikes for the past two games

and will stick with that prediction that we’ll see them against Buffalo.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Dec 30, 2011 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

McCourty may not deserve 'good'

Though I still think he is the best CB for us, but it is one thing you got beat by Marshall, and it is another thing you got beat by Hartline for several times, the long completion in 1st Qtr, the pass interference, and even the interception (He got beat and the ball was underthrown, and Ben will throw a TD for that one).

I feel BB is testing McCourty’s ability for one on one coverage without safety help, because we don’t have a qualified third CB and FS need to pay more attention to that side consistently. McCourty need to balance between to be aggressive and don’t bite on fake, which is difficult and may need more film study. Because of unfamiliar job, he made more mental mistakes this year.

by pipilu on Dec 30, 2011 1:45 AM EST reply actions  

A "must add" to this list

Richard,

I’m surprised your article contains nothing to referrence Deion Branch and his stellar decision to fight for an extra yard and stay in bounds. at the end of the half. I made a similar comment on another post but I’m going to make it again…..

Watching this play caused me to violently grit my teeth in frustration. I TRULY like Dion Branch….. I really do. But, as a former college player, it kinda bugs me to routinely watch this guy catch the ball and promptly dive at the feet of the defenders to avoid hits. In spite of this, I generally give him the benefit of the doubt because it is an effective way to protect the ball as well as protect the body from injury. As a rule, I reluctantly cheer the completed pass and try to be grateful for the positive yardage.

NOW….. Let’s re-visit last Saturday’s game, just prior to halftime……..

Branch runs a great route, Brady puts the ball on target and together they make an extremely clutch, sideline connection. Given the clock situation I can only imagine Dolphin fans were pulling their hair out thinking how incredibly stupid their D was to give up such a completion.

ANYWAY…. This same guy….. the one who’s made a career out of catching passes and avoiding hits, spontaneously decides to fight for that one extra yard only to get tackled in bounds with the clock running. OMG!!!!! If it were Gronk, or Welker or even The Law firm who made that same mistake, I probably would have chalked up the boneheaded play to the way those guys normally fight for every possible inch and understand it’s probably just HABIT. But we’re talking BRANCH here…. and he has NO SUCH HABIT.

This feedback comes from a fan who likes, and truly values what Branch brings to the team….. But that was just frikken UGLY.

by Bills friend on Dec 30, 2011 2:05 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

It was ugly

But it was Branch, and it was an aberration. I’m willing to cut him slack for that one single play, in a half where no one on offense could get anything going.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Dec 30, 2011 11:56 AM EST up reply actions  

I agree with both of you.

That play was terrible. Just an obvious head mistake. It looked like he was TRYING to go down in bounds.

On the other hand, as Marima says, you can hardly blame a guy who almost always does the right thing for a single mistake in a game where nobody can get anything going. That said, it probably cost the team, 3 points, but not the game. (I missed the second half because I had to attend a church service. Terrible timing).

True wealth is a shelf full of unread books.

by Hometown Gyro on Dec 30, 2011 1:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah.... I get it

I agree and I’m over it (almost….. LOL),

The upsides of Deion Branch far outweigh any mistake he could possibly make in the course of one game. NO QUESTION ABOUT THAT. With that said, I almost feel a bit guilty hammering him over this issue on two seperate posts but I was always coached to view mental errors as 5 times worse than their physical counterparts (like dropping passes).

Branch does a very good job of playing within his strengths and I’ve learned to appreciate that very much. I was once a tight end at a smaller (D-3) school so my opinions related to catching a football (and running with it) have to be tempered by what is reasonable given ones strengths and limitations. I’ve come to accept Branch isn’t going to be confused with a frieght train anytime soon…. so, being protective of his body and the football after making a catch is probably a good thing. It just goes against my nature as a fan and former player.

Overall, he’s an awsome receiver and a great value to the franchise.

by Bills friend on Dec 31, 2011 12:11 AM EST up reply actions  

He's getting old and

it shows. Throw some press coverage at Deion and he disappears. Those 0 catch games of his really hurt.

It is what it is

by Middlesex on Dec 31, 2011 10:33 AM EST up reply actions  

His value is unique

Of all the receivers to whom Brady throws, his connection to Branch is the strongest. Word has it that Tom was a big reason they brought Deion back after the “Moss circus” last year.

Branch is (from my perspective), a good receiver with decent skills…. but nothing to “write home about” when compared to the physical and atheletic skills of his counterparts. What makes the difference in his performance is his personal connection to Brady. Tom has gone on record as saying they can make a certain eye contact mili-seconds before the snap and completely change the pass route. That’s something that takes a while and a relationship!

by Bills friend on Dec 31, 2011 8:45 PM EST reply actions  

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