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NFL Free Agency: Will the Patriots Make a Play for a Pass Rusher?

 

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If you believe the rumors, the NFL Lockout very well could be coming to an end sometime in the next couple of weeks.  Personally, I won't be exhaling until the doors are officially re-opened, but that doesn't mean that we can't start to look forward to what could very well be a very strange free agency period.

The one burning question that is on most Patriots fan's minds is the following: will the Patriots make a play for a pass rusher in free agency?

Just as a disclaimer, I'm not going to answer that question today... that will be left up to you to debate.  But there's a couple of things that I think should be kept in mind.

First, keep in mind that the Patriots aren't afraid to gamble on a big-name free agent pass rusher.  In 2003, the team signed Rosevelt Colvin.  Colvin had a relatively successful career with the team.  Despite struggling with injuries, Colvin managed to win two Super Bowl rings, and picked up 26 sacks in 65 games with the team.  In 2007, the Patriots made an even bigger gamble, signing former Raven pass rusher Adalius Thomas to a monster contract.  Although Thomas had a solid first year and a half with the team, a rift with team management (and personality differences) caused his Patriots career to fall apart.  After the failed experience with Thomas, the Patriots traded a pair of mid-round draft picks for Derrick Burgess.  Burgess spent one less than stellar year with the team before being cut in the 2010 preseason.

I don't really buy the whole "Bill Belichick won't make the mistake of overpaying on a pass rush again" sentiment.  I think the issues with Thomas are something to keep in mind, but I think if Bill Belichick finds the right pass rusher, he won't hesitate to make the move.

The issue becomes finding the right guy.  Does the 2011 free agent class have that player?

A Look at some free agent pass rushers after the jump!

Star-divide

In short, I have absolutely no idea but I would tend to doubt it.  But based on what I've been reading, here are some of the players who could be available:

  • Charles Johnson, Carolina Panthers: At 6'2", 275 could certainly set the edge.  Had 11.5 sacks last year but only one year of real production.  No linebacker experience, will be pricey, and the Panthers are going to try hard to keep him.
  • Jason Babin, Tennessee Titans: Finally broke out in 2010 with 12.5 sacks after bouncing around.  Is 31, will be expensive, and hasn't played the position.
  • Ray Edwards, Minnesota Vikings: Patriots showed interest in him pre-draft.  Has prototype size and athleticism, but never had more than 8.5 sacks.  Will be expensive.
  • Mathias Kiwanuka, New York Giants: Has prototype size, and has played strong side linebacker in the 4-3.  Will need to stay healthy and provide more consistent sack production.
  • Manny Lawson, San Fransisco 49ers: Has plenty of experience playing linebacker, but has virtually no sack production.  Is a solid all-around linebacker, but might not provide anything that Rob Ninkovich doesn't.
  • Matt Roth, Cleveland Browns: Has 3-4 outside linebacker experience and has shown flashes but won't wow you.  Eric Moore seems a more viable alternative.

Don't get me wrong, there are certainly some viable pass rushers, but there's no "must have" guy in the 2011 free agent class at the position.  Charles Johnson and Jason Babin both had good 2010's, but are aging and haven't proven anything over the long haul.  I think the Patriots will stay away. 

Manny Lawson and Matt Roth are solid football players and actually have 3-4 outside linebacker experience.  However, I don't think they bring anything to the table that the Patriots don't already have on their roster.  They would be better suited going to a team that is transitioning to a 3-4, where they could see more ample playing time.

That leaves just Mathias Kiwanuka and Ray Edwards.  Edwards could come with a hefty price tag, and I doubt the Patriots would get into a bidding war over him.  Kiwanuka seems like he could be a nice fit, but then there's the injury concern.  I wouldn't mind seeing the Patriots go after one of these two, but I wouldn't exactly be doing backflips if they did land one of these guys. 

Personally, I would rather see the Patriots pick up a potential diamond in the rough.  Someone who may have been buried on a depth chart but could possibly earn a roster spot (see case: Rob Ninkovich).  The bottom line is that while the Patriots would like to improve their pass rush and I don't think they would hesitate spending money if the right player were available, the most likely solution will be to develop the pass rush internally.


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Poll
Will the Patriots make a play for a big name pass rusher this offseason?
Yes, there are solid options available
135 votes
No, the right guy isn't there
305 votes
Not sure what I think
69 votes

509 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 23 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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ummm, did we forget about successes like Mike Vrabel and Roman Phifer signed in free agency? Coach will sign players he thinks fits, whether they have a name or not. Remember Chad Brown washed out before Burgess ever did.

by Joshua Jackson on Jun 30, 2011 12:38 AM EDT reply actions  

I have to say, I like Kiwanuka's experience at every skillset

4-3 DE translates well to 3-4 OLB in pass-rushing, but usually means iffy pass-coverage skills… except he’s also played 4-3 OLB, which is mostly coverage. The only issue is the injury bug, but even that would be mitigated somewhat by the Pats using a lot of sub-packages and game-by-game roster decisions at OLB – he wouldn’t have to be an every-game or every-down LB like he would in some other places.

Token southern hemisphere guy - 14,688km from Foxboro. That's 9128 miles, for you heathens.
Contributing Writer at PatsPulpit

by Comedic.Sans on Jun 30, 2011 5:08 AM EDT reply actions  

LaBoy has the same talent and fewer broken bones :P

by quadruple option on Jun 30, 2011 5:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

And discipline issues

Missed 4 games through suspension for ‘undisclosed reasons’. You don’t suspend one of your own best players for a quarter of the season because he’s an upstanding team member. Throw in bicep surgeries in both 2008 and 2009, ankle surgeries in 2009, and a season-ending knee injury in 2009 as well, you’re really sure Kiwanuka’s more injury-prone?

Token southern hemisphere guy - 14,688km from Foxboro. That's 9128 miles, for you heathens.
Contributing Writer at PatsPulpit

by Comedic.Sans on Jun 30, 2011 6:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Draft showed confidence in D

It seems more likely the Pats will pay for Mankins and maybe someone else on their roster, then see what improvement was made with experience. I was surprised too.

by WRMaurer on Jun 30, 2011 6:08 AM EDT reply actions  

This I agree with most.

by Patriots12 on Jun 30, 2011 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Or...

The draft showed Bill’s confidence in free agent options. Where are the middle tier free agent options. That’s where they will harvest

by amerrill on Jun 30, 2011 10:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t agree with that.

by Patriots12 on Jun 30, 2011 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Because of the so-called analyst the pass rusher has been on everyone’s mind. But in my mind that is overrated. And who will be cut to make room for that new player who is going to command some cash? The Patriots have a young defense learning what it is to win. And they weren’t the ones who lost the playoff game to the Jets. The offense did by not scoring when the opportunities were there. I’m really sick of all of this talk about either a name receiver or a name rusher. The Patriots have guys who are GOING to make their own names.

by Patriots12 on Jun 30, 2011 9:56 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

I'd like to see Kiwanuka, but this is what I really got from this column . . .

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by AverageJoeEveryman on Jun 30, 2011 11:03 AM EDT reply actions  

Pays the bills....

The more you know, the more you know that you don't know.
Some people can learn from the mistakes of others, while some people need to pee on the electric fence themselves.

by SlotMachinePlayer on Jun 30, 2011 11:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

I thougth

da skillz payd the bills. Anyway just making a joke not knocking it.

by AverageJoeEveryman on Jun 30, 2011 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

actually - I pay [and pay some more] the Comcast Xfinity bill

But I’m not addicted. I can quit NFLN any time I want to … I just don’t want to. : /

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Jun 30, 2011 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

I hope people don't look at these posts as ads

Because in reality, I try to put good content into them. Not just for the sponsor, but really for the readers. I don’t really have a choice when it comes to these posts, but I try to make the most out of them that I can.

by Greg Knopping on Jun 30, 2011 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, they are ads, but they are 95% post content and they address real issues.

You don’t find that in any other ad, so to me, I see no problem.

It’s not like the 20 seconds of your life they suck out before they show you the video you want to see. They don’t jump out on the page and block the content you are trying to view. They don’t shout out a high volume while you are reading them at work.

Economics says you have to have advertising, which can be a bitter pill to swallow. You’ve sugar coated it well enough, I’ll enjoy finishing the whole bottle.

The more you know, the more you know that you don't know.
Some people can learn from the mistakes of others, while some people need to pee on the electric fence themselves.

by SlotMachinePlayer on Jun 30, 2011 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I tend to just ignore the advertising.

Anything that keeps sites from becoming pay-per-view is worth while.

"Perhaps it was the Noid who should have avoided me." Mayor Adam West

by insertscreenname on Jul 4, 2011 4:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

As far as the pass rusher is concerned,

I don’t believe they ignored it in the draft simply because there were plenty of free-agents available. They strengthen the secondary which has obviously been Hoodie primary concern. They added another body to the edge as depth / diamond-in-the-rough (maybe VERY rough).

If Hoodie had to go to battle, he’d be able to go with the guys he’s got.

BUT, he will obviously look at free agency and see who’s available and pay them based on their skillset and ability to help him in his system. I doubt Adalius Thomas scared him off of pricey free agents. No player comes with guarantees, so that is par for the course. What may happen is a much better discussion of what the player’s role will be in our system. The best way to head off misunderstandings is with communication.

In the very little tread left category, there’s also Jason Taylor and Mike Vrabel if you’re just looking for depth / player coach.

The more you know, the more you know that you don't know.
Some people can learn from the mistakes of others, while some people need to pee on the electric fence themselves.

by SlotMachinePlayer on Jun 30, 2011 4:51 PM EDT reply actions  

He probably sees a deficiency on defense,

But it’s far easier to get by with a below-par (quick aside – how come “below par” means bad??) pass rush than a poor secondary. It’s easier to get 35 sacks from a group of guys than it is to manufacture a shut down back end (Deltha O’Neal, anyone?)

"Perhaps it was the Noid who should have avoided me." Mayor Adam West

by insertscreenname on Jul 4, 2011 4:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

I feel like this is totally up in the air.

However, if I had to make a bold prediction it would be that we would NOT see a Free Agent signing at OLB.

I could very well see a low to middle tier type of signing. A type of guy that training camp competition or injuries might allow onto the roster. Not a guy head and shoulders above what we have talent wise, but somebody about on par with what we have.

I could also see a young diamond in the rough type of signing. A guy you might think doesn’t have a shot at the roster, or might be a practice squad candidate, or a guy who might make his primary contributions on special teams.

I could also see hoodie going after the Kiwanukas, or the Roths, or the Lawsons, however I doubt it. Nothing would surprise me with hoodie, I just feel like he’s going to go with what we got, let them grow and develop, and let the defense grow with them.

He doesn’t have the Phifers or Vrabels or McGinnests here anymore, but he does have young guys who have now spend 1 or 2 or 3 years in his system. They may not be wily old veterans with 3-5 years in the system, but would adding a big name with no experience in our system really help ? Our guys might be on the verge of fully grasping hoodies D and allowing up to really ramp the scheming up a notch.

by UtopianAverage on Jun 30, 2011 9:20 PM EDT reply actions  

Does anybody know about the situation with Kamerion Wimbley

He has 3-4 OLB experience, and his contract is up this offseason. He was franchised, but I’m not sure if he’s signed the tender, or if a new CBA will change anything.

by dreynoldsPATS on Jun 30, 2011 11:01 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Fail by me

Imagine a “?” at the end of that title.

by dreynoldsPATS on Jun 30, 2011 11:06 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

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