Patriots vs. Broncos: Week 15 Film Review
In the grand scheme of things, the Patriots' lopsided 41-23 victory over the Denver Broncos doesn't mean much. When the Patriots and Broncos take the field on Saturday, anything can happen. History, well, it doesn't really matter. The Patriots can remember that better than any team as they lost to the Jets last year in the playoffs after beating them 45-3 just a few weeks prior. That being said, this doesn't mean we can't look back a few weeks ago to the Broncos game and see what the Patriots did right and wrong and infer what that could mean about the Divisional Playoff match-up this Saturday.
Follow the jump for a few game notes that I took while reviewing the Patriots vs. Broncos game earlier today. The notes aren't that specific, but rather relate to general trends that I noticed while watching the game (twice, actually).
- The Broncos have an athletic and physical offensive line. They won at the point of attack against Pittsburgh on Sunday, and did a lot of the same against the Patriots less than a month ago. One play in particular stood out to me: On a 3rd and 9 near end of the 1st quarter, Zane Beadles pulls and seals off a Patriots defender on Tim Tebow quarterback keeper for a first down. The drive results in a field goal and a 16-7 early Denver lead. The Patriots countered a lot of what the Broncos were doing later in the game by switching to the 3-4, directly attacking Tim Tebow with their linebackers, and bringing bigger defensive linemen like Gerard Warren and Ron Brace onto the field.
- Bad tackling, defensive execution, and simply being physically outplayed in the trenches were all factors that led to Patriots' 1st quarter woes against the Broncos in week 15. In fact, the bad tackling continued for both teams throughout much of the game, although the Patriots really cut down their struggles in this area after the first quarter which helped them significantly. Still, it looks like tackling, such a fundamental football concept, is going to be one of the major factors to watch in the Patriots-Broncos playoff rematch this Saturday.
- Denver did a pretty decent job, even in the second half, of disguising their blitzes. On a third down on the Patriots opening drive of third quarter, the Patriots are moving the ball at will. Broncos disguise a safety blitz from Quinton Carter, and he comes in unblocked and takes Tom Brady down for the drive-stalling sack.
- The Patriots formula for stopping Tebow: discipline. In the second half, Rob Ninkovich and Mark Anderson did a great job of keeping Tebow in the pocket. Kyle Love, Vince Wilfork, Brandon Deaderick, Gerard Warren, and Ron Brace all helped produce pressure up the middle, and with Tebow contained in the pocket, he really had nowhere to go. Down the field, Patriots defensive backs stayed disciplined and didn't get fooled by Tebow's antics, and never let their receivers behind them. This really isn't anything out of the ordinary. The Patriots were willing to let the Broncos run and let Tebow throw underneath and across the middle and try for the methodical drive. Tebow has struggles leading those long drives, and in the second half, the Patriots were content giving up a couple of rushing first downs if it meant eventually stopping the Broncos offense.
- Mark Anderson, playing right outside linebacker, simply outmatched Broncos' left tackle Ryan Clady throughout the game. His speed and hand use was simply too much for Clady. This seems like the type of match-up the Patriots will want to exploit again.
- Denver's game plan defensively was to bring consistent and harassing pressure at Patriots quarterback Tom Brady. Sometimes, it worked. The Patriots had a drive stalled when the Broncos confused the Patriots line and Elvis Dumervil went untouched a laid out Tom Brady for a big sack. At other times, though, Brady countered by delivering quick, on target throws to open receivers. In the Patriots' game sealing drive in the fourth quarter, they got things going when Denver brought five on a blitz. Brady quickly delivered the ball to an uncovered Rob Gronkowski who took the catch for 38 yards and helped set up the Patriots score.
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Nice write up
I believe TB was only sacked twice in that game? So, even though you highlighted some Denver success, it really seems like an area that the Pats won, all things considered.
Any word on Decker? I actually think Eddie Royal is a pretty good receiver, who I believe battled some injuries this year, but looked pretty good on Sunday.
I want to thank the Steelers for playing how they played defensively, because it gives us an advantage of what not to do. In the passing game the number one weapon is Thomas. I know our secondary struggled this year, but seeing him go off I think can give us some insight into how not to attack the Broncos. In other words, I don’t believe lightning can strike again for Tebow to Thomas. Had they not had to use that, and been able to run against the Steelers, than the element of surprise may have bitten us, had they broken out the deep pass against us, but luckily, we now have that advantage of having seen it, and we will be better prepared.
MCL Sprain
Any word on Decker?
Out for a couple weeks, so we definitely won’t see him this weekend.
Can I Scream?
Fox officially said he was "Day-to-Day" though I agree with Adam
A sprained MCL is at least a couple weeks unless you have some Wolverine healing factor going on.
"Bombs dropping down overhead. Underground. It's instilled to want to live." -EV
Did you see the hit?
No way his knee will be close to 100% on Saturday night.
It is what it is
Yeah,
but I also saw Roethlisberger come out in the second half moving around on his ankle when logic dictated that wouldn’t be possible either (whatever he was shot up with worked, at least for a while) Knees are different, I know. It makes me glad that the Pats didn’t have to play the opening round – and glad they don’t play Pittsburgh. James Harrison doesn’t think twice about going for either the head or the knees and taking out receivers at will.
Keep the faith!
Harrison is a dirty player
I don’t care if the hits that injure these players are intentional or not, they all bother me. Ray Lewis has played in this league for a long long time and he hits people really hard but he plays clean. He is the perfect example of being able to play a vicious game of football while not overtly attempting to injure.
I didn't think Owens would play in XXXIX.
True wealth is a shelf full of unread books.
by Hometown Gyro on Jan 10, 2012 7:26 PM EST up reply actions
Sending extra blitzers against TB is definitely a mixed bag
If you can get a push up the middle or you disguise the blitz and manage to come free untouched, Brady just doesn’t have the mobility to escape. But if the blitz gets picked up at all or if Brady recognizes it pre-snap and knows where he has to go with the ball, then he can eat you alive. I think a major reason why the Giants and some of the old Colts teams had some success against the Pats is because they could get pressure without blitzing.
Von Miller is one of the best blitzing LBs in the league, but I wonder if he could be somewhat taken out of the game by lining up Welker or Hernandez across from him. The Pats having some of the best slot receivers in the league seems like a big deterrent for blitzing from the OLB spots. Plus having Gronk to chip Dumervil on the other side from time to time doesn’t hurt.
by Aluminum Penguin on Jan 10, 2012 4:28 PM EST reply actions
I agree and disagree
it seems like alot of Brady’s best plays come when the D is sending a ton of people, even if some of them get there. If he can take a few steps or dodge an attacking rusher, theres a split second where of everybody near the line of scrimmage, hes the only one whos not momentarily confused and doesn’t have to ajust to the new situation. It seems like alot of the time when this happens he throws for a big play. With that said, you don’t have to worry about him taking it himself like you do with Tebow/Rodgers/Vick/Webb/anyone I’m not mentioning.
Oh my god a floor zombie! Oh wait, thats you
- Toby Turner
by New Century Silver on Jan 11, 2012 1:12 AM EST up reply actions
Oh he's great at the one step dodge
I think there was some article earlier this season about how Brady had the best QB rating of anyone when the other team blitzes. But the few bad games that he has had are often because the other team was forcing some bad throws with creative pressure. So maybe substitute the words “mixed bag” with the words “big gamble”. I only worry about it at all because it’s bitten the Pats in the playoffs before.
by Aluminum Penguin on Jan 11, 2012 8:34 AM EST up reply actions
Inside pressure gets to him more than edge rushers.
He’s keen on stepping up in a clean pocket.
The more you know, the more you know that you don't know.
Some people can learn from the mistakes of others, while some people need to pee on the electric fence themselves.
Belichick is looking for a new name for his boat: VI Rings sounds pretty good.
by SlotMachinePlayer on Jan 11, 2012 8:54 AM EST up reply actions
Stumbled across an interesting stat today.
Brady averaged more yards per completion this year (13.1) than any year in his career. Next highest was 12.8 in 2004. But that year he only completed 288 passes. This year it was 401.
"Every time I call it a game, you call it a business. Every time I call it a business, you call it a game."
"The longer they play, the more they lose. In the end, we get it all."
by JohnHannahRules on Jan 10, 2012 4:48 PM EST reply actions
Also
What God would have to do for the Broncos to Win the Super Bowl
A quote:
Friday: Brady is captured by Philistines, who stab his eyes out with swords before imprisoning him in Gaza. Bill Belichick lists him as “Questionable” on the injury report.
"Every time I call it a game, you call it a business. Every time I call it a business, you call it a game."
"The longer they play, the more they lose. In the end, we get it all."
by JohnHannahRules on Jan 10, 2012 5:02 PM EST up reply actions 5 recs
That's because even without his eyes...
he could still complete passes to an open Deion Branch.
except . .
for weeks I needed Deion to come up big in Fantasy Football.
by AverageJoeEveryman on Jan 11, 2012 11:58 AM EST up reply actions
Career high in ypa of 8.6
Beat the 8.3 mark he set in 2007
Tedy Bruschi- "How do we feel about a victory?"
Team- "Aww Yeah!!!"
by freeland1787 on Jan 10, 2012 8:00 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Career high in ypa of 8.6
Beat the 8.3 mark he set in 2007
Tedy Bruschi- "How do we feel about a victory?"
Team- "Aww Yeah!!!"
by freeland1787 on Jan 10, 2012 8:01 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
I think you can chalk that up to YAC.
The Patriots led the NFL in yards after catch this year. A lot of these yards were made by Hernandez and Gronkowski, who are monsters after they catch the ball.
The 99 yard run to Wes (94 YAC) had to help as well.
The more you know, the more you know that you don't know.
Some people can learn from the mistakes of others, while some people need to pee on the electric fence themselves.
Belichick is looking for a new name for his boat: VI Rings sounds pretty good.
by SlotMachinePlayer on Jan 11, 2012 10:17 AM EST up reply actions
Well
I am a Broncos fan, I am glad to be at this position in the postseason but I fully respect the Pats, even if I don’t like you guys too much. You are a winning franchise but we have done well against you in the postseason traditionally. May the best team win Saturday!
Brad James
Follow me on Twitter
With Coach Zorro on our side, we will slice opponents to ribbons. Tim Tebow gives me hope and I already have faith and charity in my heart! I see a propitious future rife with Lombardis for our Broncos!
by the new Bradfather on Jan 10, 2012 7:26 PM EST reply actions
I'm just glad we're at home.
Mile High has been a den of horrors, this year notwithstanding.
"Every time I call it a game, you call it a business. Every time I call it a business, you call it a game."
"The longer they play, the more they lose. In the end, we get it all."
by JohnHannahRules on Jan 10, 2012 8:25 PM EST up reply actions
How often have we played against eachother in the postseason?
Twice? 06, 87? Thats not much of a sample space to say you guys have done well against us in the postseason traditionally. Especially 87 which was decades ago.
Yeah, that's a moot point.
A new history begins Saturday.
Traditionally I hate a Broncos matchup in the playoffs
Nothing good usually comes of it, especially when they’ve all been played in Denver. Yeesh. Aside from the immortal Champ Bailey, however this Broncos team is a completely different animal.
May the best team win Saturday! Go Pats! (same thing)
Keep the faith!
Pats are in much better shape since Week 15.
They’re at home, first and foremost. They’re not in Colorado a mile high wondering if the thin air is going to get to them.
They got the pressure of winning in the playoffs in mind. For all those saying and thinking the Pats are shoe-ins, the same was said in the playoffs the last two years. For their last three playoff games, they’re 0-3. In their last 9 they’re 4-5. They haven’t won a playoff game in 4 years. These are numbers Belichick is probably screaming about. By now he’s had plenty of time to get the horrible film ready from Week 15. Denver fans are saying they only lost because of turnovers, and Belichick is probably telling them that they won because of luck. For the players, most of them have yet to ever win a playoff game and aren’t going to think take a playoff game for granted. They’ve learned what those losses are like.
They got Chung back. Devin McCourty at least appears to be finding his groove at FS and Sterling Moore seems to be doing good at CB. .They just need to prevent the deep-ball and dare Tebow to go for the check-downs.
They got LB Brandon Spikes back with Mayo and Fletcher. They’re all healthy at the same time for the first time since preseason.
They might have Vollmer back who missed the last meeting. Mankins looks set to return after suffering a Week 16 injury.
Plus, WR Deion Branch will be back. Pats won’t have to rely on Ochocinco to be the 2nd WR.
It is what it is
I like the way you're thikinking
There’s no doubt we are healthier than we have been for most of the year, other than Andre, who we know is not coming back. For the Broncos they are down Decker, but maybe Royal steps into his place without much friction. I think a key player for them will be if Brian Dawkins still can’t go, and even if he can he has missed about 6 games, so he will be rusty, as he is an older player. But he is good, and we catch a break if he is still out.
Definitely excited for Chung and Spikes to be back for this one, and look forward to their contributions. Also, that Brady to Branch connection, I know will come up big at some point.
You know I'm thinking
not only is Tebow more likely to throw incompletions when he is given alot of hard throws rather then a few easy throws, it also is statistically more likely he’ll throw picks. In addition, it should increase the number of sacks, as he’ll be holding the ball longer rather then doing quick handoffs or having obvious open receivers.
And this is kind of late and off topic, but seriously – for all those that said he never faced a good defense, the Steelers are one of the best in the league. I’m pretty Tebow-neutral, but they need to stfu now.
Oh my god a floor zombie! Oh wait, thats you
- Toby Turner
by New Century Silver on Jan 11, 2012 1:19 AM EST up reply actions
Some bad new guys
Schotty has left the Jets :(
by quadruple option on Jan 11, 2012 2:13 AM EST reply actions
Who cares
He isn’t the reason for the Jets offensive struggles like they think. Jet fans are content with mediocre QB play but point to the OC as the cause of the problems. When they finish near the bottom in offense again next season I guarantee their excuse will be Sanchez needs to learn the new system…
Hey the longer the believe in sanchez
the better
Rex Ryan: "There’s no way that we’re looking to replace Mark Sanchez"
Patriots Nation: "Thank God"
Giants Fans: "FOUR MORE YEARS!! FOUR MORE YEARS!!"
I dont think Ive ever
been more happy to see a player fail than with the Sanchize.
A. I hate USC
B. I hate the Jets
C. I used to have a paper route in the morning and had to listen to Fox Sports Radio (basically to stay awake) and my god they could not get off his nuts, mostly Petros but really that whole radio station is a local LA station that is played throughout the country.
by AverageJoeEveryman on Jan 11, 2012 12:02 PM EST up reply actions
Yac, Yac, Yac
I think TB12 will shred the Broncos with short passes across the middle and screens and quick outs and the Pats’ yardage will be driven by yards after catches. Brady will look like a tall Drew Brees out there. Gronk, Herndo and Welker will dominate the highlights on Sunday morning.

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