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5 Keys to the Game: Pats V. Ravens the Rematch


The Ravens are largely the same team that defeated the Pats in January of 2010. The Pats, however, are largely not the team that was defeated by the Ravens in 2010.

Star-divide

Use Gronk and Hernandez against Suggs. It may disrupt their route-timing, but use the Boston TE Party to throw off the Baltimore pass-rush. Chip those DEs before you take off, get physical with them and whatever LB is there because they are going to try to get physical with the TEs. Ray Lewis is going to make sure his soldiers don't let Gronk and Hernandz kill him and Ed Reed up the middle of the field. Baltimore's DEs/OLBs are likely to try to get physical with our TEs to throw their timing off, so the Pats TEs might as well get to them first. Throw tricks at the Baltimore linemen, be relentless against them, and don't let them dictate. The Pats are best when they are dictating, deciding the tempo without a huddle and trying on purpose to hurry up a D that ain't ready. The strength of the Pats is the unstoppable force of their offense and the strength of the Ravens is their immoveable defense. The Ravens think they're a tougher team, and just maybe they don't realize how much the Pats still remember that humilitating playoff loss.

Be aggressive upfront, ready in the middle, and disciplined in back. Most of the 5 sacks on Joe Flacco against the Texans were given up by the far-right side of the Baltimore offensive line. Is it a sign that the Pats managed 5 sacks against Tebow Saturday night? I'd like to see the Ravens O-Line get challenged on every play. Pats D-Line has improved with better stunts and for the first time all season, the Pats 4-best LBs are all healthy at the same time. Pats D and the Ravens O are the most unpredictable aspects of this game. Pats front-line needs to be disciplined like their LBs need to be decisive. Ravens run-game is more potent than their pass-game, but the pass-game can't be underestimated as neither Boldin nor Smith are slouches.

Move beyond the Big-3 receivers. Gronkowski, Hernandez, and Welker are amazing, but Pats do best when someone else can take advantage of all the attention they draw. Deion Branch had a good game vs. Denver, but he can't always beat coverage these days. Edelman, Ochocinco, Solder(!), Underwood, or a pass to an RB here and there could do wonders to keep the Ravens D honest. You can't let the Ravens focus on three guys in their quest to shut down the offense. The Pats will need to continue to run the ball with effectiveness. Ridley is fumbling lately, the Lawfirm is still is reliable at being consistently-okay, and Woodhead is just not an every-down kind of back. Perhaps there'll be some more Faulk or Shane Vereen vs. the Ravens. My money is on Vereen, who was a healthy scratch last week. Just because I said that I'm sure he'll see no snaps again.

Don't make dumb mistakes. Take out Jacoby Jones' ridiculous PR fumble within his own 10-yard line and that rookie-interception from Yates around his own 30, and the Ravens offense simply had nothing. Remove either Texan mistake and the Ravens would have probably lost. Take care of the football, pursue the football, be disciplined and take advantage. The Ravens won't make a lot of mistakes(see; 0 penalties vs. Texans) so take what they give and make the most out of it. Don't give their O the ball on your own turf

Score points. Flacco is at his worst when the pressure is on him. On the road this year, the Ravens were 4-4 for a reason. Earlier this season, Eli wanted to be considered 'elite' and what I thought then stands now; if you want to be considered elite, pick up a team onto your shoulders and win a game for them. Eli Manning has proven he has that ability to rally his team. Flacco has yet to prove it. His team didn't win the game against Houston anymore than he won the game; the Texans lost the game for the Ravens win. If Ray Rice doesn't have a good game than the Ravens tend to lose.

The views expressed in these FanPosts are not necessarily those of the writers or SBNation.

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remember the first play from scrimmage

was a check down to the law firm- opening drives like that will establish a tone

Tedy Bruschi- "How do we feel about a playoff victory?"
Team- "Aww Yeah!!!"

by freeland1787 on Jan 16, 2012 11:15 PM EST reply actions  

Point #4 seems like the most important to me

In 2009, the Pats had numerous costly turnovers that the Ravens took full advantage of to put the game basically out of reach. They’ve got some ball hawks in the secondary, and they go for the strip on most tackles. BB always puts an emphasis on TOs, but it seems even more important than usual against a team that thrives on them.

by Aluminum Penguin on Jan 17, 2012 3:27 AM EST reply actions  

both teams are excellent at forcing turnovers

and punishing their opponents for turning the ball over

Tedy Bruschi- "How do we feel about a playoff victory?"
Team- "Aww Yeah!!!"

by freeland1787 on Jan 17, 2012 10:12 AM EST up reply actions  

NE has a very high chance to go into the SB and win this year,

if they’re playing at the level they has been playing the last few weeks. The defense has been improved perhaps partially
1) due to the offense playing at high level all the time so the opponent’s offense had to resort to high risk, high reward to play catch up. That in turns caused more TO opportunities, more pressures and more sacks.
2) due to the knowledge that the defense is very poor in the first 14 games, so they know they have to come to play because every single game is a game to lose even if they face the 32nd ranking offense of the NFL.

On the other hand, Baltimore offense is always average from the get go minus a couple good games. Their defense is also coming down from the last few weeks, just a little bit better than average. Currently Raven’s defense is just a bit better than NE’s defense based on the trend of the last 4-5 games. As they say in the financial world, the trend is your friend, so I think NE should win this game.

FYI, NYG is also trending up and it’s very possible that NE will meet NYG in the SB.
BTW, I always use Advanced NFL Stats while driving looking back in the mirror (that’s what’s statistics really mean, a bunch of historical experiences)

Me: Words can fool men but Nature doesn't give a damn!
David Brooks: The premise of the current financial regulatory reform is that the establishment missed the last bubble and, therefore, more power should be vested in the establishment to foresee and prevent the next one.

by MadDogExtra on Jan 17, 2012 2:56 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

And here is the website link.

Very cool site with all the data, methods, underlying assumptions are all open so everyone can understand where those numbers are coming from (if they have the time). You can also adjust the bar to filter out whatever weekly trends that you want to focus on

http://wp.advancednflstats.com/teamstatvisualization.php

Me: Words can fool men but Nature doesn't give a damn!
David Brooks: The premise of the current financial regulatory reform is that the establishment missed the last bubble and, therefore, more power should be vested in the establishment to foresee and prevent the next one.

by MadDogExtra on Jan 17, 2012 3:05 PM EST up reply actions  

It feels like this every year...

…but I think the other 3 teams match-up well against the Pats and NYG is the worst. Their pass rush is almost as good as 2007 and Eli is playing at a higher level, while the Patriots’ own pass rush and secondary is still in rebuilding mode. Hard to think NYG-NE wouldn’t be a repeat of NYG-GB. We may all want revenge for 2007, but I think that can wait for the Pats’ 5th championship. Just need 1 more.

It all comes down to whether Brady can strike first with the no-huddle and set the tempo. But I don’t know if he can get a quick TD against this tight BAL-D like he did against DEN.

Ray Rice has also historically played well against the Pats. Hopefully Spikes will play a big part in containing Rice, but I don’t know if the Pats can hold him to 100 yards.

by tossin on Jan 17, 2012 4:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I expect the Pats to focus on winning at the LOS on D.

Like with Tebow, Flacco’s best at going deep and he needs time for that. Unlike Tebow, Pats won’t be worried about him scrambling at all Like with the Broncos O, Pats got to be ready for the run. Unlike with the Broncos O, they also have to account for the two TEs the Ravens have and sometimes use together. Expect some chipping at the LOS, much like what some teams have done to try and limit the Pats TEs.

Pats D finally has some continuity to it. Knock on wood. We’ll see if it does them anygood.

It is what it is

by Middlesex on Jan 17, 2012 8:27 PM EST up reply actions  

I realize it wasn't a playoff game, but Flacco did lead a 92 yard drive in under 2:00 to beat the Steelers

Had they lost, they likely don’t win the division (and the Steelers are likely the #1 overall seed in the AFC). It isn’t like Flacco has never done it before. He just had a bad game on Sunday against a great defense.

EVH+DLR=BFFs........ God I Hope So!!

by dmstorm22 on Jan 17, 2012 10:44 PM EST reply actions  

He's had bad games against worse defenses too

Rex Ryan: "There’s no way that we’re looking to replace Mark Sanchez"
Patriots Nation: "Thank God"
Giants Fans: "FOUR MORE YEARS!! FOUR MORE YEARS!!"

by Chris Kole on Jan 19, 2012 5:49 PM EST up reply actions  

True, but to say he's never picked his team up and won a game is false.

It just hasn’t happened often. But in the biggest game of the regular season, he did just that, against a great defense, in their building.

EVH+DLR=BFFs........ God I Hope So!!

by dmstorm22 on Jan 20, 2012 2:46 AM EST up reply actions  

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