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So you want to beat the Ravens...

Belichick has said that Baltimore will present the most difficult challenge that the Patriots have faced this year. But the Ravens are not without flaws as some sketchy performances on the road have shown. After watching footage from several Ravens games, I've decided to share my long-winded thoughts about their team and what it takes to beat them.

On Offense: It all starts with Ray Rice. Everyone knows that he's the engine that makes the Ravens offense go. He is as dynamic a playmaker as you will find in the league and, as the Pats have seen firsthand, he can take it to the house on any given play. He has been slowed down at times though, and here's how:

-Use gap control and disciplined back end defense. Ray is a tough little guy, but he is simply not strong enough to drag tacklers and move the pile. This leads to a lot of runs for very little gain. He usually makes up for this by springing some big runs, which is why gap control is crucial. If he gets into a seam, he explodes through the second level of the defense. Instead of charging up the field with reckless abandon and getting spread out across the line, defenders must focus on cutting off escape routes and funneling Ray towards the other defenders. By staying back more you allow a few 5-7 yard runs, but you can hopefully avoid the 50-70 yard variety. Luckily the Pats got some practice with the "close in slowly" defense against Denver.

-Keep an eye out when he leaves the backfield. Not only is he a great runner, but Ray Rice is the Ravens leading receiver. Interestingly he gets most of his yards when teams simply forget about him and leave him all alone in the flat. When someone is actively covering him he seems to have a difficult time gaining separation and will frequently get tackled for little to no gain. If someone can't get to the QB, they should look for Ray. I saw a defensive lineman chip him as if he were helping to block a pass rusher, and it worked quite well for throwing off Flacco's timing.

A couple other thoughts on the offense:

-Joe Flacco has an excellent arm, but he is still limited as a passer. If you allow him a clean pocket and clear throwing lanes, he can really zip the ball in to his talented receivers. The mid-range post pattern is his bread and butter along with dump offs to Ray Rice and his big TEs. The key to stopping him seems to be disrupting his timing and making him move in the pocket. He has the ability to run, but he usually stands like a statue, and when he does take off he rarely ever throws the ball deep down the field a la Ben Roethlisberger. Making him move at all greatly decreases his accuracy, so hopefully the Pats D-Line can pick up where they left off last week getting a strong push up the middle.

-Torrey Smith is certainly a frightening player, but he can be contained. He's blazing fast, but he doesn't have the greatest hands in the world, and he hasn't shown the ability to go up and take the ball away from defenders. Joe Flacco can certainly throw the ball deep, but his touch on those throws is suspect when his receivers get only a small amount of separation. So really you just can't let Smith get completely wide open, which isn't a given based on the way that the Pats secondary has struggled at times.

Star-divide

On Defense: While Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are the biggest names, injuries and age have caused them to lose a step. After watching closely, I really think the key to beating the Ravens D is slowing down Terrell Suggs and Haloti Ngata.

-Throw off the timing of Suggs.Suggs might be the best in the league at timing his pass rush. It was truly amazing how quickly he's able to get across the line while staying onsides. There are several ways to combat this though. Mixing up snap counts and using a hurry up offense make it much more difficult for him to predict the exact moment when he should burst out of his sprinter stance. That split second can be the difference in allowing a lineman to get good position. Chip blocks on Suggs are also very effective. If he can't get around a lineman with his first move he is frequently washed out of the play, so even a little bit of help can often make him a non-factor. I saw several teams have success with a TE or RB bumping Suggs, then quickly leaking out into the space that he vacated. I expect the Pats to use this tactic on a regular basis.

-Make sure the offensive line is on the same page. Haloti Ngata is a beast of a man. When he gets a path toward the QB, there is almost nothing that you can do to bump him off of it. The key seems to be having a cohesive unit on the OL. He gets a lot of his pressure off of stunts or when the line is trying to pick up a blitz elsewhere. Any time there is a bit of confusion or hesitation on the offensive line, he is quick to take full advantage. Surprisingly though, he doesn't push blockers straight back as much as you might think. If he is blocked cleanly, he often seems like he'll just sit in his gap and simply wait for the play to develop.

A couple other thoughts on the defense:

-The power running game against the Ravens is like banging your head up against a wall. They are too big up front and too good at gang tackling for you to get very far unless you can get their D-Line tired near the end of the game. A runner with a bit of speed has a better chance going off-tackle. Tosses and stretch plays generally give them too much time to pursue. Frankly it seems like Ridley is a better match up than BJGE, but after his fumble who knows how much BB will trust him. Teams have had success against the Ravens with WR and TE screens, so that's something that I fully expect the Pats to try as a running game replacement. And maybe a reverse or two with Hernandez.

-Keep the passing game horizontal instead of vertical. The Ravens are ball hawks and aggressive tacklers. This makes vertical routes a dangerous game of chicken. Crossing routes seem to give them the most trouble, as they have a tough time chasing athletic playmakers across the field, and when they do blitz then the middle of the zone is a soft spot. Luckily working the ball down the middle of the field is a specialty of the Pats, and they may even distract the safeties enough with the tight ends to eventually take a shot down the field on a double move by Branch or Welker.

If you made it all the way through that, congrats! Sorry I got carried away, but this is my first Fan post and I actually did a lot of research. Hopefully I'll figure out how to be more concise in the future. Cheers fellow Pats fans!

The views expressed in these FanPosts are not necessarily those of the writers or SBNation.

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Pats should use their TEs to chip Suggs,

who might try chipping our TEs anyways, and our LBs to chip Baltimore’s TEs and Rice if he’s heading out for a possible reception. They need to maintain discipline anyways so they might as well hang back a second to throw those guys off while the bigger guys of the 3-man-front try to push against that interor-3 of the Baltimore OLine. Their interior is better than their edges though.

I’d like to see Shane Vereen get some playing time.

It is what it is

by Middlesex on Jan 18, 2012 8:48 AM EST reply actions  

Their TEs are not explosive

Both are big with good hands, but really it seemed like all they are good for is check downs or helping out in the red zone. And that’s all Baltimore needs them for. They can both drag a tackler at times, but in essence they are more “normal” TEs rather than the big play guys that we are starting to see across the league.

by Aluminum Penguin on Jan 18, 2012 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

thinking of shane smoking by ray ray...

untouched makes me happy.

It's your thing, do what you wanna do, I can't tell you, who to sock it to. The Isley Brothers

by sweetjesusihatethejets on Jan 18, 2012 9:09 AM EST reply actions  

Nice article and I totally agree and we cant leave out the fact that we have to be able to control the clock with the

run game. Last week vs DEN we didnt win the TOP margin, but that’s because we just simply put SMOKED THEM. This wont be the case going up against a stingy BAL defense. We will get sacked a couple of times, but need to limit or turnovers to no more than one INT and 2-3 sacks. This and what you have nicely put will be the recipe for success in our last 2 games. That and some mutha F-IN GRONK’D! lol

by Yardpenalty.com on Jan 18, 2012 9:25 AM EST reply actions  

Heck, I thought that was pretty conscise

You hit all the major points. I’m glad you brought up Smith; let’s not forget Boldin. Flacco has some weapons that, on another team, would be scary. But he’s Flacco — he’s a lot like Hasselbeck in that he’s streaky. Some days he’s very good. Other days he’s worse. He was worse against the Texans, but their defensive backfield is better than ours. If we give Boldin and Smith enough room there could be troubles.

And don’t sleep on Ricky, either. He’s a good change-of-pace from Rice.

I also agree on Haloti. Man is fierce, but if our o-line has a quality day as they did against Denver, we should be in good shape.

"Every time I call it a game, you call it a business. Every time I call it a business, you call it a game."

"The longer they play, the more they lose. In the end, we get it all."

by JohnHannahRules on Jan 18, 2012 2:12 PM EST reply actions  

I just wondered if 1,200 words was beyond the normal attention span, haha

I did leave out Boldin, but mostly because he brings a fairly normal (but very good) skill set to the table. He is Flacco’s #1 target on those mid-range post patterns that I referenced, and also their best bet when throwing toward the sidelines. Whoever the Pats think their best corner is, he should probably draw Boldin.

Ricky is definitely a solid backup and he’s a guy to worry about if the Ravens get the lead. One important thing that I didn’t mention was the start of the game. In the games I saw, getting a lead on Baltimore totally throws them out of their game plan while getting behind allows their running game and exotic blitz packages to have a field day. The beginning of this game could be crucial.

by Aluminum Penguin on Jan 18, 2012 5:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Loved the post

I really like this game of our strength vs their strength and weakness vs weakness. I think our strength is better than their strength and our weakness better than their weakness.

I think our offense will have to and will come out strong. If we get out to a double digit lead early it might get out of hand and not be very close at all. I think unlike other teams we can afford to chip Suggs with a te, we have two good ones. Even if this took them out of the play, the extra seconds for Brady will allow him to find an open wr or the other te. The no huddle will negate their exotic blitz game and force them into base d. The no huddle is our best offense against their base d, intensifies our strength n weakens theirs. We can do it early as the d is fresh, a few 3 n outs don’t ruin us in the first q, later in the game a series of these would hurt ESP in a close game. But early the no huddle doesn’t disadvantage our d.

For the weaknesses- they at times just can’t do anything on offense regardless of the d. If this happens we blow them out. If not they need to hope we don’t tackle well and they can get ray rice going early and have long drives and score TDs with these. For us we need to slow rice and force then to third downs, if they convert 50% that’s fine if we make them get 6-7 for a td. Flacco won’t convert too many third n longs so the more we force the better. If our offense gets points on the board early they will panic and we can jump routes and confuse flacco.

But most importantly our players need to execute, they can trust the pats will out scheme the ravens and have faith that if they execute they win. I don’t think the ravens have this faith and their coaching is based on emotion to overtake thier slight lack of scheme. Their d doesn’t trust their offense to hold up their end of the bargain and the offense knows it. I doubt anyone there trusts cam Cameron up against BB. This will come out if we get up big early and they will self destruct. I see their only chance as getting up on us early like 09, if we get a td lead we will take over. Even if we are down at half we have reason to be settled and be fine, if they are down at half they have to abandon their plan. We can win this in the first 15 minutes.

by gnatecolby on Jan 18, 2012 10:58 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Ravens fan Here...

I hope we all do realize, that these predictions that we attempt to make always turn out to be about half right. the truth is, I am as guilty as anyone at trying to predict a way a game will go. I’ll think about what our team needs to do in relationship to what the other team will probably do.

In reality, we will all be about half right. It’s like one of those fortune telling machines on a boardwalk. You put in a quarter, and it spits out your fortune. It’s so vague while complex, that we find something about ourselves in the text. We read ourselves into it.

The truth about Sunday’s matchup is that its anybody’s guess. We are both great teams or we wouldn’t be here. You can beat us, and we can beat you. I think it will come down to the usual; Whoever makes a few more good plays than the other guy will win. Luck can also be a factor. It works too.
It’s any given Sunday.

Formerly 88Keys

by RantinRaven on Jan 19, 2012 9:04 PM EST reply actions  

Of course

but we gotta talk about something in the week leading up to the game, so why not focus on the positives? : )

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Jan 19, 2012 10:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree

and am not being negative. In fact I am very positive in the way I feel about my team’s chances. It’s just that I always find it interesting.

Formerly 88Keys

by RantinRaven on Jan 19, 2012 10:26 PM EST up reply actions  

BTW

Here’s a positive, Ray Rice ended up tied with Sydney Rice with the Best QBR in the NFL for the 2011 season at 118.8.
he threw 1 pass for 1 TD.
Now hat’s a Stat!
I’m glad he’s on my team.

Formerly 88Keys

by RantinRaven on Jan 19, 2012 10:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Will it make us a kid again? It happened to Tom Hanks, it can happen to anyone.

by Oughat on Jan 19, 2012 10:23 PM EST up reply actions  

LOL

I like it, and yes it will!

Formerly 88Keys

by RantinRaven on Jan 19, 2012 10:24 PM EST up reply actions  

My amateur attempt at film analysis

I’m sure the Ravens will have a few tricks up their sleeves, and I didn’t see most of their games. BUT I figured since most of us Pats fans haven’t seen a whole lot of the Ravens lately, it’d be interesting to try to pick out some of the patterns in their games this year. It was a fun experiment trying to get into Bill Belichick’s head a bit, but I wouldn’t be too surprised if I see some things this weekend that I really wasn’t expecting.

by Aluminum Penguin on Jan 19, 2012 11:29 PM EST up reply actions  

This will be a great game

Tom Brady can become the best quarterback ever in my eyes if he does Baltimore defense the way he did Denver’s but that probably won’t happen. Baltimore can solidify being the best defense of the last decade and shock the world by shutting down Tom Brady’s offense. Great opportunity for Joe Flacco to gain respect as well if he plays good.

Can’t wait!

This is our year!

RavensBlogger.com

Follow @RavensBlogger

by RavensBlogger on Jan 22, 2012 11:18 AM EST reply actions  

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