FanPost

How much will Brandon Lloyd cost the Patriots?

There has been a lot of talk recently about a Brandon Lloyd to N.E. connection and rightfully so. Lloyd has said that he's tied to McDaniels because only Josh McD has been able to get production out of B. Lloyd. Brandon credits his success to Josh's ability to utilize the shifty WR on all levels of the Offense and in a myriad of Offensive sets. This sounds like a match made in heaven but there's another side to this story.

That other side is the fact that Tom Condon is B. Lloyd's agent. Condon is one of the best agents in the NFL. He represents some big names and players love him because he's damn good at his job. The Patriots hate him because he's damn good at his job. Most of us know that the Pats have not dealt with Condon since the Ben Watson fallout of 2004, so one can imagine just how volatile the B. Lloyd contract negotiations could become.

To the agent's credit he's offered an olive branch of sorts by praising both the Patriots front-office and his own ruthless, wildly successful negotiating skills. He's made it clear that he's willing to let bygones be bygones and he'll do whatever it takes to put his client in the best situation (though he expects that B. Lloyd will be a highly desired WR in the open market, go figure).

My question to all the Pats fans out there is how much is Brandon Lloyd worth? My take after the jump.

I've done a bit of research on this issue and I've got what I hope is good news. If you head over to rotoworld and start digging up some contracts of WR's like Calvin Johnson, Andre Johnson, Roddy White and Greg Jennings, you'll be pleasantly surprised to see that even the elite WR's don't make more than ~$9million a year (on average, back-loaded contracts like Larry Fitz's are obvious exceptions).

Now, I don't think anyone will claim that Brandon Lloyd is anywhere near as good as either Johnson so it doesn't make much sense for Lloyd to demand anywhere near $9million a year ( with ~%80 of the gross value of the contract guaranteed like the contract Andre Johnson has earned himself).

To me, a 30 year old WR who had zero success for 7 years in the NFL until your (the Pats) current O-Coordinator got a hold of him, that guy is probably worth $4-6million per year for 3-4 years with ~%60-%70 of the gross value of the contract guaranteed. It would be wise for the Patriots to offer some incentive based bonuses and some roster/workout bonuses later in the deal to ensure B. Lloyd's commitment to success. This allows the Pats to offer a bigger deal that won't offend B. Lloyd but also offers them the latitude to move on from the 30+ year old WR should he not perform up to his contract's value.

What do you guys (and ladies) think?

The views expressed in these FanPosts are not necessarily those of the writers or SBNation.

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