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Postgame, Week 20: Patriots 34 @ Colts 38

Paradise (And Opportunities) Lost
Patriots Made Many Mistakes in AFC Championship

In virtually any endeavor in life, events never go as planned. Coaches, players, writers and fans have endeared themselves to the hyperbolic analogy of football and war for decades, and for Sunday's AFC Championship game, that analogy was apropos, if extremely hyperbolic.

This morning I started watching "A Bridge Too Far," an epic about Operation Market Garden in World War II that chronicles mistakes and blunders made by generals far from the action and lieutenants and soldiers in the midst of things, very much like coaches and players in a football game. Market Garden, like many major military campaigns turned on seemingly insignificant events that spur major ebbs and flows, frighteningly similar to the sweeping reversals of momentum in the RCA Dome.

P1hotobucket - Video and Image Hosting 34 - - - Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting 38

Start with New England's first drive and the failed screen pass to Kevin Faulk. It was not a perfect pass. Tom Brady's pass was behind Faulk, but Faulk adjusted and had the ball in his hands. It was just the first of many opportunities that literally slipped through the Patriots fingers.

Faulk had blockers and lots of open green field in front of him, but that miscue resulted in the end of New England's game-opening drive and a punt.

This fumble by New England Patriots running back Laurence Maroney turned
out OK, but it was an omen of things to come, and the Patriots made too many
mistakes in losing the AFC Championship to the Indianapolis Colts, 38-34.

Photo Courtesy: nfl.com

Two more of those golden opportunities slipped between the hands of Reche Caldwell, who had been so consistent all season. The first, in Indy's end zone, ultimately caused no damage as Brady connected with Jabar Gaffney, who made a spectacular leaping catch in the back of the end zone on the next play. But the second was devastating.

Star-divide

Midway through the fourth quarter, the Patriots began a drive on the Indianapolis 43 after another great punt return by Ellis Hobbs and a 15-yard facemask penalty. Caldwell was split out right, and there wasn't a Colt defender within 20 yards of him. He dashed up the field, turned, and Brady, as he had on Caldwell's earlier drop, feathered a pass right into Caldwell's bread basket.

But instead of catching the ball with his hands, Caldwell tried to catch it with his arms and body, and it fell harmlessly to the ground. Like Faulk before, Caldwell had plenty of room to run, and while the Colts caught on and probably would have stopped Caldwell from walking in for six, the drop resulted in a field goal instead of a goal-to-go situation that would have made it 35-28 and would have left the Patriots with more options on the last drives of the game.

There was rookie running back Laurence Maroney tap-dancing in the backfield, seemingly unable to decide when to run forward, losing more yards than he gained after a 9-yard run on New England's second possession of the game.

There was a distressing lack of screen plays that should have shredded the Colts defense. Maroney and Corey Dillon caught just one pass each, and Faulk never caught any. (Heath Evans caught four, but he simply doesn't have the talent of Dillon or Faulk.) And there was a surprising shortage of Dillon and Faulk running plays, when they were clearly having success -- Dillon averaged 6.9 yards per carry, and Faulk 6.8.

There was, of course, Brady's last-minute desperation pass intended for Ben Watson that Marlon Jackson intercepted, effectively ending the game. In hindsight, Brady would have preferred to throw that one away for a second chance at a last chance.

There was the prevent defense the Patriots played on the Colts final drive of the first half. Fifteen grueling plays that took only 2 minutes and 59 seconds of game time but minute after minute of weary real time.

Yes, the Patriots prevented giving up a long play and limited Indianapolis to 3 points; and, at the time, that seemed like a reasonable goal -- to keep it a two touchdown-plus game. But paired with the Colts 14-play, 6:47 touchdown drive to open the third quarter, it made reluctantly giving ground instead of playing the same defense the Patriots played for the first 27 minutes a major strategic miscalculation.

There's the 12-men-in-the-huddle penalty. Completely preventable, and certainly unproven by Phil Simms two-second overhead photo demonstration of "four here, four here, nine-ten-eleven-twelve". That turned the ensuing 7-yard pass to Caldwell and 4-yarder to Watson into 3rd-and-4 instead of 1st-and-10, and the Patriots, nearly at midfield with a 34-31 lead, punted.

There was Tully Banta-Cain's "roughing the passer" penalty. That moved Indy 12 yards to New England's 11 and the Colts scored a touchdown three plays later.

There was Hobbs "not turning his head" on a pass interference penalty that directly led to Indy's game-tying touchdown at the start of the fourth quarter.

[The veracity of these calls, I'll discuss in another post. But they were called and can only be termed mistakes now.]

Rookie wide receiver Chad Jackson was non-existant. He assisted on a kickoff coverage tackle and muffed the first half-ending kickoff return -- an insignificant play. He played only two offensive snaps. He ended the season impotently.

Quite simply, it was not championship execution.

Poll
What mistakes cost the Patriots the most in the AFC Championship?
Late-game penalties
5 votes
Poor coaching/strategy
6 votes
Poor officiating
6 votes
Something else
2 votes
Reche Caldwell's drops
16 votes
Tom Brady's interception
4 votes
Laurence Maroney's running
1 votes

40 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 10 comments

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tough loss
Hey Tom,

Just wanted to say great job covering The Pats this year.

That was a tough loss to take. One more first down at the end would have virtually sealed the game. Oh well that is football.

The Pats had a great year even if they came up short. I'm dissapointed but still proud of The Pats this season.

The off season will be interesting to see who stays, who goes and who arrives.

by mrbandw on Jan 22, 2007 4:09 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

More to come ...
Thanks for the kind words, Mr. B&W. You were one of my earliest supporters in the blogging world, and your continued loyalty is humbling.

Yes, one first down, and I'm going to write more about that and much more over the coming days and weeks. And then there will be extensive off-season analysis -- player grades, where are they nows, and lots more leading up to the draft.

Then we do it all over again, and the 2007 season is another chance to get one game further than this year.

Very disappointed in yesterday's result. Very proud of the Patriots and all they accomplished despite the rest of the country rooting against them (because they're just so boring).

Quick prediction: I think this team is going to look a lot different next year -- even more than how different they were this year from last.

I'd be honored if you stick around and continue to participate.

Tomorrow's another day, man.

by tommasse on Jan 22, 2007 4:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

will do
Yup I'll be lurking around ;-)

I am in agreement about next years team. With the number of draft picks and salary cap room, I have a feeling we will see a lot of fresh faces in foxboro.

I also have a feeling some fan faves will be gone next year too...

GO PATS

by mrbandw on Jan 22, 2007 10:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Great game marred by ridiculous penalties.
Four unexplainable calls ruined the game and left the question of who is the best team unanswered.
  1. Offensive pass interference on Troy Brown. The Patriots were driving in the second quarter already leading 21-3.This call completely changed the game.
  2. Defensive pass interference on Ellis Hobbs in the end zone. He NEVER touched the receiver or impeded his progress. Seven free points for the Colts.
  3. Caldwell mugged in the end zone midway through fourth quarter--no call. Patriots s hould have had the ball on the one yard line instead had to settle for a field goal.
  4. Final drive of AFC championship--roughing the passer. While it MAY technically been a correct call, in a preseason game, this call was made at the most critical juncture of the NFL season. What a joke!!
The Colts may have won the game without benefit of these calls, but we will never know if the best team really won.

by scsatr on Jan 22, 2007 8:14 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Pretty good summary, scsatr
I've been planning to discuss those calls and others in detail, but you've done a good job summarizing and giving everyone else some food for thought in the meantime. Thanks.

by tommasse on Jan 22, 2007 10:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry for stealing your thunder,
but I had to get that off my chest.

by scsatr on Jan 22, 2007 11:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

caldwell mugged
yes, number 3 in particular stands out.

I have to say in general I thought the refs did a good job in this game, but those calls were certainly questionable.

The Caldwell mugging in the endzone was just as bad if not worse than Hobbs' penalty, but no flag. That one sticks out for sure.

by mrbandw on Jan 22, 2007 10:47 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

When the refs blow that many big calls...
...that obviously, I don't think it qualifies as a "good job."

by RSNexile on Jan 22, 2007 11:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The refs
didn't do a good job, and some calls they made could have been gamechangers. That said, bad calls happen in every game, and the pats shot themselves in the foot to much to win this game. Our secondary was tired, and some boneheaded mistakes (12 men in huddle, dropped passes etc) were the reason that we lost.

by billforprez on Jan 23, 2007 12:10 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

yes bad calls but overall refs were ok
like billforprez said, every big game like this is going to have questionable calls, especially when they go against you and your team loses the game.

It is unavoidable.

but at the same time, this game was not a flag-fest either that is all I am saying. For the most part I think the refs let the players play the game.

The refs did not allow the colts to score on virtually every possession in the 2nd half, the Pats defense did.

I am not saying I am happy about it but that is what it is.

by mrbandw on Jan 23, 2007 9:44 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

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