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Tale of the Tape - Patriots vs. Broncos


Working from home and being relatively bored on a Friday, I dug through stats of the last five matchups against the Broncos.  I picked out numbers that appeared to be germaine to the outcome of the game and some fairly obvious things came to light.  You can open my spreadsheet as a PDF and keep it in a separate window while we trudge headlong into an analysis:

  • The winner had the highest NET yards
  • Highest completions did not guarantee a win
  • The winner had the highest AVG yards per pass play
  • In 3 out of 5 games, the highest net yards passing wins
  • In 3 out of 5 games, the highest 3rd down eff. won
  • In 3 out of 5 games, the highest red zone eff. won

The 2 critical stats for winning a game were highest net yards and highest average yards per completion.  Translation?  Hit your receivers often for big gains.