The New England Patriots enter week 10 as a big road favorite over the New York Giants. After opening as a 7-point favorite, the Patriots are slowly creeping towards a wider spread with some outlets declaring New England the favorite by as much as 8.5-points. Most places are sitting at 7.5-points right now.
Bill Belichick and Tom Brady have posted a straight-up record of 72-8 when favored by 7.5-points or better. Two of these losses have come at the hands of the New York Giants (and two more have come from the New York Jets, and one from the Buffalo Bills in 2011. Break up the state of New York!). This is a 90% win rate.
The Patriots also have a 19-2 record when favored by 7.5-points or better while on the road. These losses were against the Bills in 2011 and the Dolphins in 2004.
The over/under is currently set at 54.5 points, meaning a final score projection of 31-23.5.
Can you predict the final score?