The New England Patriots host the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football in what should be an entertaining game. Bill Belichick vs Rex Ryan. Tom Brady vs the vaunted Bills defensive line. Malcolm Butler vs Sammy Watkins. It'll be great.
The Patriots are favored by 7 points, which is the exact same as being the 1-point road favorite back in week 2. Home teams see a 3-point swing in their direction, which means the oddsmakers consider the Patriots a 4-point favorite on a neutral field.
Of course, this also implies that the Patriots, without Dion Lewis, Julian Edelman, Nate Solder, and possibly Jamie Collins, are favored by just as much as the team from week 2.
Week 2 was the only game this season where the Patriots weren't favored by 7 or more points.
The Patriots have been favored by 7 or more points in 12 of their past 15 games, winning all 12, and 2 of the 3 where they weren't (the lone loss was the week 17 bye week against the Bills). Tom Brady owns a 90-8 record when favored by 7+ points, including a 65-5 record while at home.
The over/under is set at 48.5, which implies a 27.75-20.75 victory for the Patriots.
Can you predict the score?