The New England Patriots are 7-point favorites over the Baltimore Ravens this coming Monday night. The Patriots are 73-8 when favored by 7 or more points at home under head coach Bill Belichick.
That said, the Patriots were 7.5-point favorites over the Seattle Seahawks earlier this year, only to lose 31-24. In fact, the last four times the Patriots lost at home while 7-point-or-greater favorites have come against the Seahawks (2016), Eagles (2015), Ravens (2012), and Cardinals (2012). There’s something about birds of a feather in this scenario.
The over/under is set at 44.5; the Patriots have hit the under in 8 of their 12 games this season. The Patriots are projected to win 25.75-18.75.
Can you predict the score?