Multiple outlets are naming the Patriots as multi-score favorites and the line will likely continue to widen over the course of the week. The Patriots defeated the Texans 27-0 in week 3 without QB Tom Brady; people already bet hard on New England and have even more reason to do so.
The Patriots are 28-1 under head coach Bill Belichick when they are favored by 13.5 or more points (lone loss: 2012 vs Cardinals as 13.5-point favorites) and 10-0 when favored by 16 or more. New England is 3-0 when favored by 13.5-points or more in the postseason, including both rounds in the 2007 AFC playoffs, and in 2011 against the Broncos.
13.5-points represents a tie for the 12th largest spread in NFL playoff history, while 16-points is the 4th largest spread. We’ll monitor this spread moving forward.