The New England Patriots will host the Houston Texans next Saturday (all game detail here), and Las Vegas is pretty much calling the game before the opening coin toss.
Multiple outlets are naming the Patriots as multi-score favorites and the line will likely continue to widen over the course of the week. The Patriots defeated the Texans 27-0 in week 3 without QB Tom Brady; people already bet hard on New England and have even more reason to do so.
OddsShark has the Patriots as 13.5-point favorites, while SportsBook has the Patriots as 16-point favorites.
The Patriots are 28-1 under head coach Bill Belichick when they are favored by 13.5 or more points (lone loss: 2012 vs Cardinals as 13.5-point favorites) and 10-0 when favored by 16 or more. New England is 3-0 when favored by 13.5-points or more in the postseason, including both rounds in the 2007 AFC playoffs, and in 2011 against the Broncos.
13.5-points represents a tie for the 12th largest spread in NFL playoff history, while 16-points is the 4th largest spread. We’ll monitor this spread moving forward.