The New England Patriots lost to the Miami Dolphins on Monday Night Football, causing a lot of overreactions about the state of the Patriots, but don’t expect Las Vegas to overreact. While the Patriots odds of winning a Super Bowl have dropped, they remain the favorite.
The Patriots odds dropped from 12/5 (29.4%) to 11/4 (26.7%), which isn’t a huge change, while the Pittsburgh Steelers increased from 9/2 (18.2%) to 4/1 (20.0%) as the AFC powerhouses stay in the top two spots. The Minnesota Vikings (15/2), New Orleans Saints (10/1), Philadelphia Eagles (10/1), Atlanta Falcons (16/1), and Los Angeles Rams (16/1) all have better odds than the third-best teams in the AFC, with the Jacksonville Jaguars and Los Angeles Chargers tied with the Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks with 18/1 odds.
The AFC playoff picture is taking a more clear shape with the Patriots (5/4) and Steelers (9/5) still the heavy favorites to win the conference. The Jaguars (8/1) and Chargers (8/1) took big strides forward in closing the gap and are definitely considered contenders by Vegas oddsmakers.
Patriots quarterback Tom Brady remains the favorite to win the MVP award with 5/8 odds and with Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz out for the year with a knee injury, there isn’t any obvious competition; an average finish by Brady over the final three weeks will probably lock up his third MVP award.
But Sunday’s game against the Steelers will go a long way in deciding the MVP award since Steelers WR Antonio Brown is tied with Seahawks QB Russell Wilson for second in the MVP rankings with 6/1 odds. Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger (12/1, t-4th) and RB Le’Veon Bell (50/1, 7th) are also ranked.
Despite his injury, Wentz is still third with 15/2 odds, while Saints QB Drew Brees and Chargers QB Philip Rivers are tied with Roethlisberger in fourth with 12/1 odds.