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2024 NFL Draft order: Patriots head into bye week as owners of a top-3 pick

A look at how the Patriots’ 10-6 loss to the Colts impacts their draft position.

NFL: Frankfurt Games-Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The New England Patriots are not yet eliminated form playoff contention. At 2-8 following a loss to the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, however, their outlook is not great to say the least.

Of course, there is one small glimmer of hope in what is increasingly turning into a wasted season: the Patriots are now on track for a top-3 selection in the 2024 NFL Draft. Currently the owners of the third overall pick, they jumped up two spots thanks to the Chicago Bears and Arizona Cardinals both celebrating victories in Week 10.

As a consequence, they are now on track for what would be their highest selection in the draft in over 30 years: not since they picked quarterback Drew Bledsoe first overall in 1993 have they selected this high.

NFL Draft order: Week 11

Pick Team Record Win % SOS
Pick Team Record Win % SOS
1 Chicago Bears (via Carolina Panthers) 1-8 0.111 0.512
2 New York Giants 2-8 0.200 0.519
3 New England Patriots 2-8 0.200 0.538
4 Arizona Cardinals 2-8 0.200 0.544
5 Chicago Bears 3-7 0.300 0.488
6 Green Bay Packers 3-6 0.333 0.478
7 Los Angeles Rams 3-6 0.333 0.531
8 Tennessee Titans 3-6 0.333 0.544
9 Atlanta Falcons 4-6 0.400 0.425
10 Washington Commanders 4-6 0.400 0.481
11 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4-5 0.444 0.478
12 New York Jets 4-5 0.444 0.503
13 Denver Broncos 4-5 0.444 0.519
14 Los Angeles Chargers 4-5 0.444 0.525
15 Indianapolis Colts 5-5 0.500 0.481
16 Las Vegas Raiders 5-5 0.500 0.497
17 Buffalo Bills 5-5 0.500 0.500
18 Cincinnati Bengals 5-4 0.556 0.579
Non-playoff teams only. Tankathon

The Patriots lost their Week 10 game in Germany with a final score of 10-6, benching starting QB Mac Jones in favor of backup Bailey Zappe in crunch time. With their quarterback situation uncertain heading into their bye week, and a game against the 2-8 New York Giants coming up in Week 12, New England appears to have potential to continue its journey up the draft board.

The only thing separating the Patriots and Giants at the moment, after all, is the strength of schedule tiebreaker. The Patriots’ opponents have a combined winning percentage of .538 this season — worse than the Cardinals’ .544, but better than the Giants’ .519.

A loss to the Giants would increase that strength of schedule tiebreaker, but the Patriots would be able to leapfrog New York based on an inferior record. Obviously, though, the team of head coach Brian Daboll has its own issues. That especially true at the quarterback spot as well: the Giants will start third-stringer Tommy DeVito with both Daniel Jones and Tyrod Taylor injured.

The battle for the second spot on the draft board behind the hapless Carolina Panthers therefore might be a closely contested one. And at this stage in their season, coming up short would not be the worst thing for the Patriots — at least as far as their 2024 draft capital is concerned.